Harm counted here, in the products the model covers

Each product whose supply chain counts deaths in Nicaragua, with its deaths per item and the part of that figure counted here — the other side of the story: harm suffered here, in things mostly bought elsewhere.

Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023.

In this calculation, no product’s figure reaches it.

Recorded here

Deaths recorded for this country, as their publishers counted them: war deaths from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), and deaths at work reported to the International Labour Organization. Both are records, and both are floors, not estimates of the whole. A war death is recorded where it happened, whoever died.

Recorded here
Kind of harm	Years	Deaths recorded	Latest year
War deaths (UCDP)	1989–1990	565	39 (1990)
Deaths at work (ILOSTAT, as reported)	1979–2010	850	42 (2010)

What it produces

The latest year on record for each material, and this country’s share of the production on record for that year. That is not always a share of the world total: when a publisher lumps small producers together as “other countries”, that group is not a country and is not loaded.

What it produces
Material	Produced	Share of recorded production	Quality
Milk (2023)	1,372,911 t	0.1%	reported
Maize (2023)	355,856 t	0.0%	reported
Rice (2023)	498,969 t	0.1%	reported
Soybeans (2023)	10,000 t	0.0%	external
Sugar (2023)	6,964,837 t	0.3%	reported
Coffee (2023)	143,337 t	1.3%	reported
Cocoa (2023)	9,317 t	0.2%	reported
Palm oil (2023)	148,622 t	0.2%	reported
Cotton (2023)	7,252 t	0.0%	external
Livestock (2023)	330,470 t	0.1%	reported
Timber (2023)	88,009 m3	0.0%	estimated
Tobacco (unmanufactured) (2023)	7,786 t	0.1%	reported
Wood charcoal (2023)	16,000 t	0.0%	gap filled
Agricultural land (2022)	5,091,000 ha	0.1%	gap filled
Forest (2022)	4,847,080 ha	0.1%	gap filled
Fresh water (2023)	190,000,000 m3	0.0%	gap filled

Where what it consumes is produced

For each material, how much of what this country uses was produced in each country. It is traced through trade, so a country that only passes a material on is not counted as its source: it hands on the mix it imported. The largest sources are listed and the rest added together.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	69.4%	—
Canada	17.5%	—
Mexico	2.4%	yes
Saudi Arabia	1.8%	—
Venezuela, RB	1.1%	yes
Iraq	1.1%	yes
All other countries	6.7%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	84.5%	—
Trinidad and Tobago	11.7%	—
Canada	1.8%	—
Equatorial Guinea	0.8%	—
Guatemala	0.4%	yes
Australia	0.3%	—
All other countries	0.6%

Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Colombia	47.7%	yes
Mexico	22.0%	yes
United States	16.5%	—
South Africa	6.0%	yes
Australia	3.1%	—
Venezuela, RB	1.2%	yes
All other countries	3.5%

Cobalt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Congo, Dem. Rep.	47.5%	yes
Australia	16.1%	—
Canada	13.0%	—
Madagascar	10.2%	—
Turkiye	5.0%	yes
Russian Federation	3.3%	yes
All other countries	4.9%

Copper — 2018, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	43.5%	yes
Chile	30.2%	—
Australia	7.3%	yes
Peru	5.3%	—
Congo, Dem. Rep.	4.6%	yes
Mexico	2.9%	yes
All other countries	6.3%

Lithium — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Australia	32.9%	—
China	28.2%	—
Chile	24.0%	—
Zimbabwe	6.4%	—
Argentina	5.6%	yes
Brazil	2.1%	yes
All other countries	0.8%

Nickel — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Canada	64.5%	—
Australia	16.9%	—
United States	12.2%	—
Brazil	1.9%	yes
Indonesia	1.8%	yes
Russian Federation	0.9%	yes
All other countries	1.9%

Tin — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Peru	37.7%	—
China	20.9%	—
Indonesia	11.6%	yes
Brazil	8.7%	yes
Bolivia	8.2%	—
Congo, Dem. Rep.	6.3%	yes
All other countries	6.6%

Tantalum — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Nigeria	28.0%	yes
Rwanda	26.2%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	17.7%	yes
Brazil	7.6%	yes
Australia	7.0%	—
China	5.8%	—
All other countries	7.7%

Tungsten — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	83.8%	—
Bolivia	5.5%	—
Korea, Dem. People's Rep.	2.3%	—
Portugal	1.9%	—
Austria	1.6%	—
Spain	1.5%	—
All other countries	3.4%

Iron ore — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
India	98.5%	yes
Australia	0.8%	—
Brazil	0.4%	yes
Canada	0.2%	—
All other countries	0.1%

Bauxite — 2018, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Jamaica	54.7%	—
Brazil	22.6%	yes
China	8.9%	—
Australia	6.9%	yes
Guinea	5.3%	—
Indonesia	0.8%	yes
All other countries	0.8%

Rare earth elements — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	88.3%	—
Myanmar	8.8%	yes
Australia	1.8%	—
United States	0.8%	—
All other countries	0.3%

Zinc — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Peru	93.1%	—
Sweden	2.5%	—
Bolivia	1.6%	—
Mexico	1.6%	yes
United States	0.8%	—
Australia	0.3%	—
All other countries	0.2%

Phosphate rock — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
India	88.8%	yes
Brazil	11.2%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Manganese — 2022, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
South Africa	37.8%	yes
Gabon	24.6%	—
Australia	18.8%	—
Ghana	7.2%	yes
China	6.6%	—
Cote d'Ivoire	1.7%	—
All other countries	3.3%

Natural graphite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	58.2%	—
Mexico	13.3%	yes
Brazil	12.2%	yes
Madagascar	5.9%	—
Canada	4.9%	—
Mozambique	4.1%	yes
All other countries	1.4%

Salt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Mexico	43.2%	yes
United States	13.7%	—
Germany	9.5%	yes
Turkiye	8.8%	yes
Chile	7.2%	—
Netherlands	7.0%	—
All other countries	10.4%

Silica sand — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	58.4%	—
China	29.0%	—
Mexico	4.9%	yes
Italy	3.3%	—
India	1.0%	yes
United Kingdom	0.8%	—
All other countries	2.7%

Natural diamonds (rough) — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Botswana	23.8%	—
Canada	19.9%	—
Angola	18.1%	yes
Russian Federation	13.3%	yes
South Africa	7.5%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	6.1%	yes
All other countries	11.3%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	51.3%	—
Canada	48.4%	—
Poland	0.2%	—
All other countries	0.2%

Milk — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Costa Rica	59.4%	yes
United States	23.8%	—
Mexico	12.0%	yes
Chile	1.5%	—
Netherlands	0.8%	—
New Zealand	0.8%	—
All other countries	1.7%

Natural rubber — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Thailand	26.4%	yes
Mexico	22.1%	yes
Indonesia	19.8%	yes
Guatemala	12.8%	yes
Cote d'Ivoire	4.9%	—
Brazil	3.9%	yes
All other countries	10.2%

Maize — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	59.9%	—
Brazil	22.4%	yes
Argentina	16.5%	yes
Mexico	0.6%	yes
Paraguay	0.3%	—
All other countries	0.3%

Rice — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	63.8%	—
Thailand	18.4%	yes
India	8.1%	yes
Brazil	2.0%	yes
China	1.2%	—
Pakistan	1.1%	yes
All other countries	5.3%

Soybeans — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Nicaragua (at home)	100.0%	—
All other countries	0.0%

Sugar — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Nicaragua (at home)	100.0%	—
All other countries	0.0%

Cocoa — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Nicaragua (at home)	100.0%	—
All other countries	0.0%

Palm oil — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Nicaragua (at home)	70.1%	—
Guatemala	12.4%	yes
Honduras	8.0%	yes
Costa Rica	8.0%	yes
Indonesia	0.6%	yes
Panama	0.4%	—
All other countries	0.4%

Cotton — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	99.8%	—
Burkina Faso	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Livestock — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Nicaragua (at home)	94.5%	—
United States	4.4%	—
Costa Rica	0.6%	yes
El Salvador	0.1%	—
Canada	0.1%	—
All other countries	0.2%

Timber — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Nicaragua (at home)	72.9%	—
Gabon	14.8%	—
Guatemala	6.5%	yes
China	1.5%	yes
Honduras	0.9%	yes
Costa Rica	0.7%	yes
All other countries	2.7%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	19.8%	—
Ecuador	13.6%	yes
Honduras	11.2%	yes
Brazil	11.0%	yes
Mexico	10.1%	yes
Indonesia	9.8%	yes
All other countries	24.5%

Wood charcoal — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Nicaragua (at home)	99.2%	—
Paraguay	0.4%	—
United States	0.2%	—
All other countries	0.3%

“War recorded” marks a source country where war deaths were recorded in the same year. It is a fact about that country, not a claim that this material caused them.

Where what it produces is consumed

For each material this country produces, how much of it is used in each country, including at home.

Milk — 2023, by value
Consumed in	Share
Nicaragua (at home)	95.3%
Guatemala	2.1%
El Salvador	1.7%
Honduras	0.7%
Costa Rica	0.2%
Belize	0.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Maize — 2023, by value
Consumed in	Share
Nicaragua (at home)	99.6%
All other countries	0.4%

Rice — 2023, by value
Consumed in	Share
Nicaragua (at home)	99.6%
El Salvador	0.1%
Guatemala	0.1%
Comoros	0.1%
All other countries	0.1%

Soybeans — 2023, by value
Consumed in	Share
Nicaragua (at home)	99.5%
Guatemala	0.4%
El Salvador	0.1%
All other countries	0.0%

Sugar — 2023, by value
Consumed in	Share
Nicaragua (at home)	33.0%
United States	12.9%
Korea, Rep.	8.0%
Canada	7.4%
Peru	5.8%
Haiti	5.8%
All other countries	27.3%

Coffee — 2023, by value
Consumed in	Share
United States	49.5%
France	5.5%
Canada	5.1%
United Kingdom	2.7%
Belgium	2.6%
Spain	2.5%
All other countries	32.1%

Cocoa — 2023, by value
Consumed in	Share
Nicaragua (at home)	62.9%
Belgium	8.6%
Guatemala	7.7%
Germany	6.4%
El Salvador	5.2%
Italy	1.4%
All other countries	7.8%

Palm oil — 2023, by value
Consumed in	Share
Nicaragua (at home)	67.1%
Mexico	26.3%
Spain	1.2%
Netherlands	0.8%
El Salvador	0.7%
Honduras	0.5%
All other countries	3.5%

Cotton — 2023, by value
Consumed in	Share
Nicaragua (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Livestock — 2023, by value
Consumed in	Share
Nicaragua (at home)	51.6%
United States	18.7%
El Salvador	11.7%
Mexico	9.0%
Guatemala	3.6%
Costa Rica	3.2%
All other countries	2.3%

Timber — 2023, by value
Consumed in	Share
Nicaragua (at home)	50.3%
El Salvador	6.7%
All other countries	43.0%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2023, by value
Consumed in	Share
Nicaragua (at home)	81.6%
Dominican Republic	10.8%
Honduras	2.0%
Costa Rica	0.5%
Cuba	0.2%
Spain	0.1%
All other countries	4.9%

Wood charcoal — 2023, by value
Consumed in	Share
Nicaragua (at home)	88.4%
United States	9.5%
El Salvador	0.8%
Costa Rica	0.7%
Panama	0.3%
Canada	0.2%
All other countries	0.2%

The number this page does not show

The harm these supply chains carry is calculated, and not shown.

The model passes the harm counted where a material is produced on to the countries that use it. That is a count of people from a recorded calculation, with no range yet, and nothing of that kind is published before the model passes its test on past years. What this page can show without it is the structure: who produces, who uses, and where harm is recorded along the way.

Sources

Sources
Version of the data	Downloaded	File fingerprint
ucdp · ged-v26.1	2026-09-10	`8c941d84954e555e…`
ilostat · fatal-20261006	2026-10-06	`700fa580091e41e7…`
faostat · qcl-20251231	2026-09-29	`c5835418c18f9322…`
faostat · fo-20260109	2026-09-29	`c2f7fc99651f620b…`
faostat · rl-20261002	2026-10-06	`39b739fbfb694971…`
aquastat · ds-20260713	2026-10-06	`3bca93e1d4430099…`
baci · HS92_V202601-20260130	2026-09-29	`43259580059fa83e…`

CEPII, BACI — Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level, CEPII Working Paper 2010-23. CEPII did not endorse these derived figures — HS92_V202601-20260130, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/data/BACI_HS92_V202601.zip. Licensed under Open Licence 2.0 (Licence Ouverte, Etalab) (https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf).
FAO. AQUASTAT, FAO's Global Information System on Water and Agriculture: municipal water withdrawal. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — ds-20260713, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://api.data.apps.fao.org/api/v2/bigquery. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — fo-20260109, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Forestry_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — qcl-20251231, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — rl-20261002, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Inputs_LandUse_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
International Labour Organization, ILOSTAT. The ILO did not prepare, review or endorse these derived figures; responsibility for them rests solely with Quiescence — fatal-20261006, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://sdmx.ilo.org/rest/data/ILO,DF_INJ_FATL_ECO_NB,1.0/all. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), Uppsala University — Davies, Pettersson and Oberg, "Organized violence 1989-2025, and violent political protests", Journal of Peace Research (2026), doi:10.1093/jopres/xjag046 — ged-v26.1, retrieved 2026-09-10 from https://ucdp.uu.se/downloads/ged/ged261-csv.zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.

Sources →

Nicaragua