Harm counted here, in the products the model covers

Each product whose supply chain counts deaths in Syrian Arab Republic, with its deaths per item and the part of that figure counted here — the other side of the story: harm suffered here, in things mostly bought elsewhere.

Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023.

Harm counted here, in the products the model covers
Product	Deaths per item
Pack of cigarettes Part from here: 5.9%	3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(1.4–8.8 × 10⁻¹⁰)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Wheat flour Part from here: 4.0%	1.1 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.44–2.6 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Croissant Part from here: 2.3%	0.42–2.4 × 10⁻⁸ per itemINDICATIVES-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Butter Part from here: 2.2%	3.2 × 10⁻⁷ per item(1.3–7.2 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cotton fabric Part from here: 1.9%	3.9 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.5–9.5 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cotton T-shirt Part from here: 1.9%	6.4 × 10⁻⁹ per item(0.25–1.6 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cotton yarn Part from here: 1.9%	3.8 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.5–9.3 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Denim fabric Part from here: 1.9%	3.8 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.5–9.8 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Jeans Part from here: 1.9%	3.2 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.2–8.0 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Refined sugar Part from here: <0.1%	6.1 × 10⁻⁹ per item(0.24–1.5 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Bag of charcoal Part from here: <0.1%	1.5 × 10⁻⁷ per item(0.61–3.5 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Chocolate bar Part from here: <0.1%	2.5 × 10⁻⁹ per item(1.2–5.8 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

The figure is the product’s own, with its range. The share beside it is a middle estimate only: the calculation stores a range for each figure, not for each part of one.

Recorded here

Deaths recorded for this country, as their publishers counted them: war deaths from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), and deaths at work reported to the International Labour Organization. Both are records, and both are floors, not estimates of the whole. A war death is recorded where it happened, whoever died.

Recorded here
Kind of harm	Years	Deaths recorded	Latest year
War deaths (UCDP)	2001–2025	416,870	3,449 (2025)
Deaths at work (ILOSTAT, as reported)	1980–2005	11,234	612 (2005)

What it produces

The latest year on record for each material, and this country’s share of the production on record for that year. That is not always a share of the world total: when a publisher lumps small producers together as “other countries”, that group is not a country and is not loaded.

What it produces
Material	Produced	Share of recorded production	Quality
Crude petroleum (2025)	3,758,802 t	0.1%	gap filled
Natural gas (2024)	3,747,847,802 m3	0.1%	reported
Wheat (2024)	2,431,225 t	0.3%	reported
Milk (2024)	2,045,945 t	0.2%	reported
Maize (2024)	320,113 t	0.0%	reported
Rice (1996)	100 t	0.0%	reported
Soybeans (2024)	3,610 t	0.0%	reported
Sugar (2024)	6,090 t	0.0%	reported
Cotton (2024)	93,144 t	0.1%	reported
Livestock (2024)	416,647 t	0.1%	reported
Timber (2024)	39,800 m3	0.0%	estimated
Tobacco (unmanufactured) (2024)	8,430 t	0.1%	reported
Wood charcoal (2024)	2,700 t	0.0%	gap filled
Agricultural land (2024)	13,612,930 ha	0.3%	gap filled
Forest (2025)	527,810 ha	0.0%	external
Fresh water (2023)	1,475,000,000 m3	0.3%	gap filled

Where what it consumes is produced

For each material, how much of what this country uses was produced in each country. It is traced through trade, so a country that only passes a material on is not counted as its source: it hands on the mix it imported. The largest sources are listed and the rest added together.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	100.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	97.6%	yes
Azerbaijan	1.0%	—
United States	0.5%	—
Algeria	0.3%	yes
Turkiye	0.3%	yes
Russian Federation	0.1%	yes
All other countries	0.2%

Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Turkiye	47.2%	yes
United States	26.8%	—
Russian Federation	15.6%	yes
Australia	4.2%	—
Colombia	4.0%	yes
Kazakhstan	0.7%	—
All other countries	1.6%

Cobalt — 2021, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Russian Federation	29.2%	yes
Canada	21.7%	—
Madagascar	13.0%	—
Congo, Dem. Rep.	11.3%	yes
Australia	8.0%	—
Turkiye	7.5%	yes
All other countries	9.3%

Copper — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Chile	22.6%	—
Peru	20.8%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	18.9%	yes
Poland	13.9%	—
Russian Federation	9.4%	yes
Indonesia	6.3%	yes
All other countries	8.1%

Lithium — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Australia	32.7%	—
Chile	29.0%	—
China	22.1%	—
Zimbabwe	7.0%	—
Argentina	6.3%	yes
Brazil	1.9%	yes
All other countries	0.9%

Nickel — 2020, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Russian Federation	48.8%	yes
Australia	18.9%	—
Canada	16.2%	—
New Caledonia	11.3%	—
Philippines	3.6%	yes
United States	0.7%	—
All other countries	0.5%

Gold — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Russian Federation	24.9%	yes
Uzbekistan	9.8%	—
United States	9.8%	—
Canada	8.9%	—
Australia	8.1%	—
Ghana	8.1%	yes
All other countries	30.4%

Tin — 2016, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Indonesia	44.8%	—
China	22.8%	—
Brazil	12.7%	yes
Peru	9.9%	yes
Bolivia	2.0%	—
Australia	1.9%	—
All other countries	5.9%

Tantalum — 2022, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Rwanda	32.2%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	27.7%	yes
Brazil	23.7%	yes
Nigeria	4.1%	yes
Burundi	3.9%	yes
Australia	3.0%	—
All other countries	5.4%

Tungsten — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	88.0%	yes
Bolivia	3.5%	yes
Austria	2.2%	—
Korea, Dem. People's Rep.	2.0%	—
Spain	1.6%	yes
Russian Federation	1.0%	yes
All other countries	1.7%

Iron ore — 2019, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Iran, Islamic Rep.	100.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Bauxite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guinea	77.5%	—
China	11.6%	—
Turkiye	5.2%	yes
Australia	4.6%	—
Greece	0.6%	—
Brazil	0.5%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Rare earth elements — 2021, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	63.4%	—
Myanmar	13.2%	yes
Russian Federation	10.7%	yes
United States	6.5%	—
India	4.0%	yes
Australia	1.7%	—
All other countries	0.5%

Silver — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Russian Federation	26.1%	yes
Mexico	16.3%	yes
China	13.4%	yes
Kazakhstan	10.4%	—
Peru	8.4%	yes
Poland	5.4%	—
All other countries	20.0%

Zinc — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Kazakhstan	31.0%	—
Peru	21.3%	yes
Mexico	13.2%	yes
Australia	8.2%	—
Russian Federation	8.0%	yes
India	6.4%	yes
All other countries	11.9%

Manganese — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
South Africa	45.9%	yes
Gabon	26.7%	—
Ghana	9.0%	yes
Australia	8.4%	—
China	5.0%	—
Brazil	3.8%	yes
All other countries	1.2%

Natural graphite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Mozambique	28.0%	yes
Madagascar	26.6%	—
Turkiye	18.1%	yes
China	14.4%	—
Brazil	7.5%	yes
Norway	2.5%	—
All other countries	2.9%

Salt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Turkiye	97.9%	yes
Egypt, Arab Rep.	1.1%	—
China	0.2%	—
Germany	0.2%	yes
India	0.1%	yes
Pakistan	0.1%	yes
All other countries	0.4%

Silica sand — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Turkiye	95.9%	yes
Netherlands	1.4%	—
United States	0.8%	—
Italy	0.4%	—
Saudi Arabia	0.4%	—
Bulgaria	0.3%	—
All other countries	0.8%

Natural diamonds (rough) — 2019, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Russian Federation	32.1%	yes
South Africa	20.7%	yes
Botswana	15.4%	—
Canada	12.3%	—
Australia	7.7%	—
Angola	4.6%	yes
All other countries	7.2%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	98.2%	yes
Turkiye	0.5%	yes
Ukraine	0.5%	yes
Romania	0.2%	—
Russian Federation	0.2%	yes
Spain	0.2%	—
All other countries	0.2%

Milk — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	99.1%	yes
Turkiye	0.5%	yes
New Zealand	0.1%	—
All other countries	0.3%

Natural rubber — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Thailand	96.9%	yes
Cote d'Ivoire	1.2%	—
Indonesia	0.7%	yes
Viet Nam	0.7%	—
Cambodia	0.1%	—
Liberia	0.1%	yes
All other countries	0.3%

Maize — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	73.6%	yes
Turkiye	14.7%	yes
Ukraine	6.7%	yes
Russian Federation	2.6%	yes
Romania	0.6%	—
France	0.3%	yes
All other countries	1.5%

Rice — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Turkiye	32.7%	yes
India	25.8%	yes
Egypt, Arab Rep.	23.0%	—
Thailand	6.3%	yes
China	4.5%	—
Argentina	0.9%	yes
All other countries	6.8%

Soybeans — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	96.7%	yes
Ukraine	1.7%	yes
Brazil	1.3%	yes
United States	0.2%	—
Turkiye	0.1%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Turkiye	49.8%	yes
Brazil	35.5%	yes
Ukraine	3.8%	yes
Netherlands	2.5%	—
Egypt, Arab Rep.	1.7%	—
Poland	1.6%	—
All other countries	5.0%

Coffee — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Brazil	91.2%	yes
India	3.8%	yes
Colombia	1.0%	yes
Uganda	0.7%	yes
Ethiopia	0.7%	yes
Kenya	0.4%	yes
All other countries	2.2%

Cocoa — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Cote d'Ivoire	63.9%	—
Cameroon	11.0%	yes
Ghana	10.4%	yes
Nigeria	5.3%	yes
Peru	2.6%	—
Ecuador	2.0%	yes
All other countries	4.7%

Palm oil — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Malaysia	77.5%	—
Indonesia	21.8%	yes
Thailand	0.4%	yes
Papua New Guinea	0.3%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Cotton — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	99.9%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	96.6%	yes
Turkiye	2.9%	yes
All other countries	0.5%

Timber — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	62.1%	yes
Turkiye	17.8%	yes
Sweden	11.1%	—
Canada	2.3%	—
Finland	1.0%	—
Russian Federation	0.9%	yes
All other countries	4.8%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	100.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	46.6%	yes
Indonesia	18.6%	yes
Egypt, Arab Rep.	8.5%	—
Cuba	7.5%	—
Nigeria	5.0%	yes
Russian Federation	5.0%	yes
All other countries	8.9%

“War recorded” marks a source country where war deaths were recorded in the same year. It is a fact about that country, not a claim that this material caused them.

Where what it produces is consumed

For each material this country produces, how much of it is used in each country, including at home.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	97.6%
Turkiye	2.2%
All other countries	0.2%

Milk — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	100.0%
Lebanon	0.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Maize — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	99.4%
All other countries	0.6%

Rice — 1996, by value
Consumed in	Share
All other countries	100.0%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Egypt, Arab Rep.	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	98.5%
All other countries	1.5%

Cotton — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Turkiye	82.6%
Iran, Islamic Rep.	0.8%
Italy	0.6%
Egypt, Arab Rep.	0.5%
Poland	0.5%
Germany	0.4%
All other countries	14.7%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	97.9%
Kuwait	1.0%
All other countries	1.0%

Timber — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Syrian Arab Republic (at home)	99.9%
Luxembourg	0.1%
All other countries	0.0%

The number this page does not show

The harm these supply chains carry is calculated, and not shown.

The model passes the harm counted where a material is produced on to the countries that use it. That is a count of people from a recorded calculation, with no range yet, and nothing of that kind is published before the model passes its test on past years. What this page can show without it is the structure: who produces, who uses, and where harm is recorded along the way.

Sources

Sources
Version of the data	Downloaded	File fingerprint
ucdp · ged-v26.1	2026-09-10	`8c941d84954e555e…`
ilostat · fatal-20261006	2026-10-06	`700fa580091e41e7…`
eia · intl-20261003	2026-10-06	`9251a5920ebe7044…`
faostat · qcl-20251231	2026-09-29	`c5835418c18f9322…`
faostat · fo-20260109	2026-09-29	`c2f7fc99651f620b…`
faostat · rl-20261002	2026-10-06	`39b739fbfb694971…`
aquastat · ds-20260713	2026-10-06	`3bca93e1d4430099…`
baci · HS92_V202601-20260130	2026-09-29	`43259580059fa83e…`

CEPII, BACI — Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level, CEPII Working Paper 2010-23. CEPII did not endorse these derived figures — HS92_V202601-20260130, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/data/BACI_HS92_V202601.zip. Licensed under Open Licence 2.0 (Licence Ouverte, Etalab) (https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf).
FAO. AQUASTAT, FAO's Global Information System on Water and Agriculture: municipal water withdrawal. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — ds-20260713, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://api.data.apps.fao.org/api/v2/bigquery. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — fo-20260109, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Forestry_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — qcl-20251231, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — rl-20261002, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Inputs_LandUse_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
International Labour Organization, ILOSTAT. The ILO did not prepare, review or endorse these derived figures; responsibility for them rests solely with Quiescence — fatal-20261006, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://sdmx.ilo.org/rest/data/ILO,DF_INJ_FATL_ECO_NB,1.0/all. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, International Energy Statistics — intl-20261003, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://www.eia.gov/opendata/bulk/INTL.zip. Used under U.S. Government work — public domain (EIA Copyrights and Reuse); see https://www.eia.gov/about/copyrights_reuse.php.
Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), Uppsala University — Davies, Pettersson and Oberg, "Organized violence 1989-2025, and violent political protests", Journal of Peace Research (2026), doi:10.1093/jopres/xjag046 — ged-v26.1, retrieved 2026-09-10 from https://ucdp.uu.se/downloads/ged/ged261-csv.zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.

Sources →

Syrian Arab Republic