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Farming

Cocoa

Where it comes from, what share of an industry’s output it is, and which wars the model links to it.

This page shows production, shares and inputs. It does not show a death toll per tonne. The shares below say what part of an industry’s output this material is, and what part of a war’s harm the model links to it. Multiplying either by a number of people gives a result, and no result is published until it comes from a recorded calculation, with a range and a confidence grade.

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The products it reaches

Each product whose list of materials contains Cocoa, with its deaths per item by the materials method and the part of that figure this material accounts for.

Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023.

The products it reaches
ProductDeaths per item
Cocoa butter
Part from here: 100%
4.1 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.16–1.1 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cocoa mass
Part from here: 100%
4.1 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.16–1.0 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Chocolate bar
Part from here: 89%
2.5 × 10⁻⁹ per item(1.2–5.8 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

The figure is the product’s own, with its range. The share beside it is a middle estimate only: the calculation stores a range for each figure, not for each part of one.

Deaths per tonne produced are calculated for this material too, but not shown: that figure has no range yet.

Who produces it

The publisher’s own figures for 2024, across 60 countries. Nothing here has been linked to anything yet.

Who produces it
Country Produced Share Figure
Cote d'Ivoire
CIV
1,890,442 t 36.2% gap filled
Indonesia
IDN
632,702 t 12.1% official
Ghana
GHA
530,000 t 10.1% gap filled
Ecuador
ECU
403,699 t 7.7% official
Nigeria
NGA
350,000 t 6.7% gap filled
Cameroon
CMR
320,000 t 6.1% gap filled
Brazil
BRA
297,509 t 5.7% official
Peru
PER
157,253 t 3.0% official
Sierra Leone
SLE
93,750 t 1.8% official
Colombia
COL
67,678 t 1.3% gap filled
Dominican Republic
DOM
57,461 t 1.1% official
Uganda
UGA
55,000 t 1.1% gap filled
Congo, Dem. Rep.
COD
50,000 t 1.0% gap filled
Papua New Guinea
PNG
45,000 t 0.9% gap filled
India
IND
30,388 t 0.6% official

Production figures: FAO, FAOSTAT, CC BY 4.0. FAO does not endorse any figure made from them, and none is implied.

What share of an industry’s output it is

Worked out from production, not typed in: an industry’s split between materials is the share of what it actually produced. These are WORLD figures, all years together; the model itself uses a separate mix for every country and year, because a world mix would link deaths in the Congo to copper mined in Chile.

What share of an industry’s output it is
Industry Share of output How
Crop and animal production, hunting and related service activities
01
0.3% world mix · LOW
Agriculture, forestry and fishing
A
0.3% world mix · LOW

Weight and value answer different questions and are never added together. A tonne of gold weighs the same as a tonne of iron ore but is worth far more, so the share of an industry’s harm this material gets depends on which one is used.

Which wars the model links to it

The average share of each war’s harm that the model links to this material, taken over the countries and years the war covers. An average of shares is not a share of a total, and the two differ whenever the coverage is uneven.

Which wars the model links to it
War Average share of its harm Years
Nigeria: Government 1.78% 17
Government of Rwanda - Civilians 0.62% 16
Colombia: Government 0.44% 37
Sri Lanka (Ceylon): Eelam 0.35% 21
DR Congo (Zaire): Government 0.23% 26
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Sinaloa Cartel 0.11% 11
Sudan: Government 0.06% 3
Angola: Government 0.00% 15

These are shares of a war, not counts of people. The number of deaths they stand for is calculated but not published: it has no range yet and has not passed the test on past years.

Harm per tonne and per euro

Harm per tonne and harm per euro are both calculated. Neither is shown yet.

Harm per tonne of this material is defined for 55 years, 1970 to 2024: the years for which the model has both the harm and the world production of this material.

Both are numbers of people divided by an amount, from a calculation that has no range and has not passed the test on past years yet, and nothing of that kind is published until it has. What this page can say now is whether each can be worked out, and on what basis.

Which products use it

Semi-finished and finished products whose list of materials reaches this material, through every step in between, and how much of it one of them needs — waste included.

Which products use it
Product Needs
Cocoa butter
semi-finished product
1.25 kg for one kilogram of cocoa butter
Cocoa mass
semi-finished product
1.25 kg for one kilogram of cocoa mass (cocoa paste, cocoa liquor)
Chocolate bar
finished product
68.8 g for one 100 g bar of dark chocolate, unwrapped

Amounts, not harm: how much of the material the product’s supply chain needs. The harm that carries is not shown.

What producing it uses up

What one t of this material uses up, from published technical figures. Where the data allows, a figure for a particular country replaces the world figure shown here.

What producing it uses up
Input Per unit Source
Fresh water 19,928 m3 Mekonnen, M.M. & Hoekstra, A.Y. (2011), "The green, blue and… · LOW

Fresh water: Global average, green + blue + grey. The same paper gives country figures varying by a factor of five; using the global average here is the fallback plan/14 S13 warns about, and it is marked global and LOW so that a country result can say so.

Sources

Sources
Version of the data Downloaded File fingerprint
faostat · qcl-20251231 2026-09-29 c5835418c18f9322…

Sources →