Two directions on one page: the harm recorded where people live and work here, and the supply chains that connect this country to harm recorded somewhere else.
This page shows recorded deaths, production, and shares traced through trade. It does not show the death toll behind what this country uses. That number is calculated, and stays unpublished until it has a range and the model has passed its test on past years.
Harm counted here, in the products the model covers
Each product whose supply chain counts deaths in South Africa, with its deaths per item and the part of that figure counted here — the other side of the story: harm suffered here, in things mostly bought elsewhere.
Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023.
Harm counted here, in the products the model covers
1.5 × 10⁻⁷per item(0.61–3.5 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
The figure is the product’s own, with its range. The share beside it is a middle estimate only: the calculation stores a range for each figure, not for each part of one.
Recorded here
Deaths recorded for this country, as their publishers counted them: war deaths from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), and deaths at work reported to the International Labour Organization. Both are records, and both are floors, not estimates of the whole. A war death is recorded where it happened, whoever died.
The latest year on record for each material, and this country’s share of the production on record for that year. That is not always a share of the world total: when a publisher lumps small producers together as “other countries”, that group is not a country and is not loaded.
What it produces
Material
Produced
Share of recorded production
Quality
Crude petroleum (2025)
26,568 t
0.0%
gap filled
Natural gas (2024)
57,987,511 m3
0.0%
reported
Coal and lignite (2024)
237,425,368 t
2.7%
reported
Cobalt (2019)
2,100 t
1.5%
not stated
Nickel (2017)
48,400 t
2.4%
not stated
Gold (2025)
90 t
4.0%
estimated
Iron ore (2025)
66,000,000 t
2.6%
estimated
Zinc (2023)
198,000 t
1.9%
not stated
Manganese (2025)
7,600,000 t
40.3%
estimated
Silica sand (2021)
2,080,000 t
0.6%
estimated
Natural diamonds (rough) (2025)
1 t
4.8%
estimated
Wheat (2024)
1,924,890 t
0.2%
reported
Milk (2024)
3,883,000 t
0.4%
reported
Maize (2024)
12,850,000 t
1.1%
reported
Rice (2024)
3,082 t
0.0%
gap filled
Soybeans (2024)
1,848,000 t
0.5%
reported
Sugar (2024)
16,741,000 t
0.8%
gap filled
Cotton (2024)
48,712 t
0.1%
reported
Livestock (2024)
3,563,040 t
1.0%
reported
Timber (2024)
16,207,111 m3
0.8%
estimated
Tobacco (unmanufactured) (2024)
11,231 t
0.2%
gap filled
Wood charcoal (2024)
62,255 t
0.1%
gap filled
Agricultural land (2024)
96,341,000 ha
2.1%
gap filled
Forest (2025)
22,881,420 ha
0.6%
external
Fresh water (2023)
4,231,743,151 m3
0.8%
reported
Where what it consumes is produced
For each material, how much of what this country uses was produced in each country. It is traced through trade, so a country that only passes a material on is not counted as its source: it hands on the mix it imported. The largest sources are listed and the rest added together.
Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria
47.6%
yes
Saudi Arabia
17.3%
—
Angola
14.9%
yes
United States
6.7%
—
Ghana
6.5%
yes
Algeria
1.8%
yes
All other countries
5.1%
Natural gas — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Mozambique
49.8%
yes
United States
41.9%
—
South Africa (at home)
2.7%
yes
Iraq
1.1%
yes
Equatorial Guinea
1.0%
—
Argentina
0.9%
yes
All other countries
2.5%
Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
South Africa (at home)
98.5%
yes
Australia
0.8%
—
United States
0.2%
—
Russian Federation
0.1%
yes
Eswatini
0.1%
—
Botswana
0.1%
—
All other countries
0.1%
Cobalt — 2019, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
South Africa (at home)
79.8%
yes
Madagascar
10.8%
yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.
8.9%
yes
Russian Federation
0.2%
yes
Australia
0.1%
—
All other countries
0.2%
Copper — 2018, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Congo, Dem. Rep.
97.3%
yes
Zambia
2.5%
—
Chile
0.1%
—
All other countries
0.1%
Lithium — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Australia
32.1%
—
China
26.3%
—
Chile
26.0%
—
Zimbabwe
7.5%
—
Argentina
5.4%
yes
Brazil
2.0%
yes
All other countries
0.7%
Nickel — 2017, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
South Africa (at home)
92.0%
—
Australia
4.4%
—
Madagascar
0.8%
yes
Brazil
0.7%
yes
Russian Federation
0.6%
yes
New Caledonia
0.4%
—
All other countries
1.2%
Gold — 2012, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
South Africa (at home)
69.9%
—
Ghana
17.7%
—
Indonesia
7.6%
yes
United States
2.1%
—
Brazil
1.0%
yes
Peru
0.6%
—
All other countries
1.1%
Tin — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Indonesia
29.2%
yes
Brazil
17.8%
yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.
17.2%
yes
Malaysia
13.2%
—
Peru
8.6%
—
Australia
4.0%
—
All other countries
10.1%
Tungsten — 2022, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
China
89.4%
—
Bolivia
2.5%
—
Korea, Dem. People's Rep.
2.0%
—
Australia
1.2%
—
Spain
1.0%
—
Austria
1.0%
—
All other countries
3.0%
Iron ore — 2021, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
South Africa (at home)
100.0%
yes
All other countries
0.0%
Bauxite — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Guinea
48.2%
—
China
31.7%
—
Australia
12.5%
—
Brazil
6.7%
yes
Turkiye
0.9%
yes
All other countries
0.1%
Rare earth elements — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
China
62.8%
—
Russian Federation
11.4%
yes
United States
9.0%
—
Myanmar
6.3%
yes
India
5.9%
yes
Australia
3.9%
—
All other countries
0.7%
Zinc — 2023, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
South Africa (at home)
84.4%
yes
Peru
7.7%
yes
Mexico
3.7%
yes
India
1.5%
yes
Australia
1.5%
—
Bolivia
0.5%
yes
All other countries
0.8%
Phosphate rock — 2010, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Egypt, Arab Rep.
41.5%
yes
Algeria
38.7%
yes
Peru
12.0%
yes
Senegal
7.2%
yes
Tunisia
0.6%
—
All other countries
0.0%
Manganese — 2016, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
South Africa (at home)
100.0%
yes
All other countries
0.0%
Natural graphite — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
China
58.2%
—
Mozambique
22.6%
yes
Madagascar
12.7%
—
Brazil
3.7%
yes
Norway
1.6%
—
Tanzania
0.5%
yes
All other countries
0.6%
Salt — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Pakistan
24.4%
yes
Germany
15.9%
yes
China
10.5%
—
Spain
10.3%
—
United Kingdom
9.1%
—
Netherlands
6.9%
—
All other countries
23.0%
Silica sand — 2021, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
South Africa (at home)
96.0%
yes
China
2.6%
—
Turkiye
0.6%
yes
United States
0.2%
—
France
0.1%
—
Netherlands
0.1%
—
All other countries
0.3%
Wheat — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
South Africa (at home)
52.1%
yes
Russian Federation
15.9%
yes
Australia
12.0%
—
Lithuania
8.6%
—
Poland
5.8%
—
Canada
1.4%
—
All other countries
4.2%
Milk — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
South Africa (at home)
97.7%
yes
France
0.7%
yes
New Zealand
0.6%
—
Uruguay
0.2%
—
Germany
0.1%
yes
Netherlands
0.1%
—
All other countries
0.6%
Natural rubber — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Indonesia
33.4%
yes
Thailand
21.9%
yes
Cote d'Ivoire
16.8%
—
Nigeria
10.0%
yes
Ghana
4.0%
yes
Viet Nam
3.3%
—
All other countries
10.5%
Maize — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
South Africa (at home)
96.0%
yes
Argentina
2.7%
yes
Brazil
0.7%
yes
United States
0.4%
—
All other countries
0.1%
Rice — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Thailand
76.3%
yes
India
20.2%
yes
Pakistan
1.4%
yes
Viet Nam
1.1%
—
South Africa (at home)
0.2%
yes
Cambodia
0.1%
—
All other countries
0.5%
Soybeans — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
South Africa (at home)
97.4%
yes
United States
2.5%
—
All other countries
0.1%
Sugar — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
South Africa (at home)
78.0%
yes
Eswatini
16.7%
—
Brazil
4.0%
yes
France
0.4%
yes
India
0.2%
yes
Belgium
0.1%
—
All other countries
0.7%
Coffee — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Brazil
54.5%
yes
Ethiopia
8.8%
yes
Uganda
6.0%
yes
Colombia
5.3%
yes
Tanzania
4.5%
yes
Guatemala
3.5%
yes
All other countries
17.4%
Cocoa — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Peru
30.3%
—
Ghana
21.7%
yes
Ecuador
11.7%
yes
Cote d'Ivoire
11.4%
—
Tanzania
9.9%
yes
Panama
4.9%
—
All other countries
10.1%
Palm oil — 2023, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Indonesia
80.7%
yes
Malaysia
19.0%
—
All other countries
0.3%
Cotton — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
South Africa (at home)
93.1%
yes
Zimbabwe
2.6%
—
Togo
1.7%
yes
Eswatini
1.1%
—
Brazil
1.0%
yes
Zambia
0.2%
—
All other countries
0.3%
Livestock — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
South Africa (at home)
94.8%
yes
Brazil
2.4%
yes
Namibia
1.1%
—
Botswana
0.4%
—
Spain
0.3%
—
Argentina
0.2%
yes
All other countries
0.9%
Timber — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
South Africa (at home)
94.1%
yes
Eswatini
3.6%
—
Malaysia
0.5%
—
United States
0.5%
—
Indonesia
0.3%
yes
Uruguay
0.1%
—
All other countries
0.9%
Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
South Africa (at home)
28.9%
yes
Zimbabwe
22.3%
—
Zambia
15.0%
—
Malawi
12.5%
—
Tanzania
12.1%
yes
India
4.0%
yes
All other countries
5.2%
Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
South Africa (at home)
63.7%
yes
Namibia
23.5%
—
China
6.8%
—
Indonesia
1.7%
yes
Zimbabwe
1.3%
—
Mozambique
0.8%
yes
All other countries
2.2%
“War recorded” marks a source country where war deaths were recorded in the same year. It is a fact about that country, not a claim that this material caused them.
Where what it produces is consumed
For each material this country produces, how much of it is used in each country, including at home.
Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
South Africa (at home)
98.3%
Zimbabwe
0.0%
Zambia
0.0%
Lesotho
0.0%
Mauritius
0.0%
Botswana
0.0%
All other countries
1.7%
Natural gas — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
South Africa (at home)
78.4%
Zimbabwe
13.4%
Botswana
2.6%
Namibia
1.8%
Lesotho
1.7%
Zambia
0.4%
All other countries
1.8%
Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
South Africa (at home)
74.5%
India
12.0%
Korea, Rep.
2.7%
Japan
1.6%
Viet Nam
1.5%
Pakistan
1.4%
All other countries
6.4%
Cobalt — 2019, by value
Consumed in
Share
South Africa (at home)
59.7%
China
12.6%
United States
5.8%
Netherlands
4.7%
Japan
3.5%
Ireland
2.0%
All other countries
11.7%
Nickel — 2017, by value
Consumed in
Share
China
52.1%
South Africa (at home)
14.2%
United States
6.2%
India
6.1%
Italy
4.5%
Japan
2.6%
All other countries
14.4%
Gold — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
China
34.6%
India
26.6%
United Kingdom
20.3%
Hong Kong SAR, China
4.7%
Italy
2.3%
Turkiye
1.8%
All other countries
9.7%
Iron ore — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
China
53.1%
Mozambique
9.8%
Korea, Rep.
9.8%
Germany
8.7%
Japan
6.5%
Netherlands
4.9%
All other countries
7.4%
Zinc — 2023, by value
Consumed in
Share
South Africa (at home)
53.0%
China
46.8%
Mozambique
0.0%
Zimbabwe
0.0%
Ethiopia
0.0%
Cambodia
0.0%
All other countries
0.2%
Manganese — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
China
44.8%
India
19.0%
Japan
6.6%
Korea, Rep.
3.9%
Norway
3.6%
Singapore
3.0%
All other countries
19.1%
Silica sand — 2021, by value
Consumed in
Share
South Africa (at home)
85.4%
China
9.7%
India
0.6%
Botswana
0.3%
Burundi
0.2%
Zambia
0.2%
All other countries
3.6%
Natural diamonds (rough) — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
United States
30.1%
Hong Kong SAR, China
25.1%
China
21.1%
United Arab Emirates
10.6%
Switzerland
2.5%
France
1.9%
All other countries
8.7%
Wheat — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
South Africa (at home)
83.6%
Zimbabwe
4.7%
Zambia
3.9%
Botswana
3.8%
Eswatini
1.9%
Lesotho
1.8%
All other countries
0.4%
Milk — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
South Africa (at home)
92.1%
Botswana
1.5%
Namibia
1.3%
Zambia
1.1%
Mozambique
1.0%
Lesotho
1.0%
All other countries
2.0%
Maize — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
South Africa (at home)
66.8%
Zimbabwe
19.3%
Namibia
3.2%
Botswana
2.6%
Mozambique
2.1%
Eswatini
1.5%
All other countries
4.5%
Rice — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
South Africa (at home)
83.3%
Botswana
7.3%
Eswatini
4.1%
Lesotho
1.2%
All other countries
4.1%
Soybeans — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
South Africa (at home)
90.6%
Zimbabwe
6.1%
Viet Nam
1.6%
Malaysia
1.1%
Eswatini
0.4%
Angola
0.1%
All other countries
0.2%
Sugar — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
South Africa (at home)
54.1%
Namibia
7.6%
Malaysia
6.7%
Korea, Rep.
4.7%
United Kingdom
3.8%
Spain
3.5%
All other countries
19.6%
Cotton — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
Indonesia
22.0%
Bangladesh
20.2%
Lesotho
19.1%
South Africa (at home)
12.5%
Mauritius
6.1%
Germany
1.2%
All other countries
18.8%
Livestock — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
South Africa (at home)
96.8%
Lesotho
0.4%
United Arab Emirates
0.4%
Mozambique
0.4%
Kuwait
0.3%
Jordan
0.3%
All other countries
1.4%
Timber — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
South Africa (at home)
92.2%
China
1.9%
Botswana
1.4%
Namibia
1.0%
India
0.7%
Mozambique
0.5%
All other countries
2.2%
Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
South Africa (at home)
82.7%
Sweden
1.9%
Korea, Rep.
1.4%
Cambodia
0.8%
Lesotho
0.4%
Nigeria
0.3%
All other countries
12.4%
Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
South Africa (at home)
34.2%
United Kingdom
16.1%
United States
9.9%
Netherlands
8.0%
Kuwait
4.4%
France
3.9%
All other countries
23.5%
The number this page does not show
The harm these supply chains carry is calculated, and not shown.
The model passes the harm counted where a material is produced on to the countries that use it. That is a count of people from a recorded calculation, with no range yet, and nothing of that kind is published before the model passes its test on past years. What this page can show without it is the structure: who produces, who uses, and where harm is recorded along the way.
Sources
Sources
Version of the data
Downloaded
File fingerprint
ucdp · ged-v26.1
2026-09-10
8c941d84954e555e…
ilostat · fatal-20261006
2026-10-06
700fa580091e41e7…
eia · intl-20261003
2026-10-06
9251a5920ebe7044…
usgs_mcs · MCS2021-PDF
2026-10-06
35645e7c2a975cfd…
usgs_mcs · MCS2019-PDF
2026-10-06
a84bd40f55d775e3…
usgs_mcs · MCS2026-20260206
2026-09-29
582a0aa231aea53d…
usgs_mcs · MCS2025-PDF
2026-10-06
4b3e4e00ed65365e…
usgs_mcs · MCS2023-PDF
2026-10-06
f02c82335ee535b6…
faostat · qcl-20251231
2026-09-29
c5835418c18f9322…
faostat · fo-20260109
2026-09-29
c2f7fc99651f620b…
faostat · rl-20261002
2026-10-06
39b739fbfb694971…
aquastat · ds-20260713
2026-10-06
3bca93e1d4430099…
baci · HS92_V202601-20260130
2026-09-29
43259580059fa83e…
CEPII, BACI — Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level, CEPII Working Paper 2010-23. CEPII did not endorse these derived figures — HS92_V202601-20260130, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/data/BACI_HS92_V202601.zip. Licensed under Open Licence 2.0 (Licence Ouverte, Etalab) (https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf).
FAO. AQUASTAT, FAO's Global Information System on Water and Agriculture: municipal water withdrawal. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — ds-20260713, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://api.data.apps.fao.org/api/v2/bigquery. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — fo-20260109, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Forestry_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — qcl-20251231, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — rl-20261002, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Inputs_LandUse_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
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