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Finished product · Arms

Assault rifle

One AK-74 assault rifle, 5.45 × 39 mm, unloaded

This page shows what the product is made of and where each figure comes from. It does not show a death toll. The toll is calculated from this list of materials, and will be published only once it has a range and the model has passed its test on past years.

A Kalashnikov AK-74, the Small Arms Survey's reference assault rifle: 3.40 kg unloaded, with a fixed wooden or plastic stock. No open source gives the rifle's composition by material, so — as plan/15 asks for arms — it is modelled by mass and marked LOW: the whole 3.40 kg is a remainder in the weapons and ammunition industry, and its steel is not yet traced to a mine.

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The human cost, per item

One item is one AK-74 assault rifle, 5.45 × 39 mm, unloaded. Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023. Each figure is the middle result of 2,000 runs of the calculation, with the range that holds nine in ten of them beside it, and the grade that range earns.

Deaths

No material traced: nothing in this product’s list of materials reaches a raw material the model knows, so this method counts nothing. That zero is the model’s limit, not the world’s.

The product’s list of materials traces 0% of its weight to raw materials the model knows. The rest carries no harm in this method, which is why this method gives a floor.

Injuries

No material traced: nothing in this product’s list of materials reaches a raw material the model knows, so this method counts nothing. That zero is the model’s limit, not the world’s.

The product’s list of materials traces 0% of its weight to raw materials the model knows. The rest carries no harm in this method, which is why this method gives a floor.

Deaths and injuries at work in these figures come from the 53 countries that reported work deaths and the 52 that reported work injuries for 2023.

Harm at work is counted as each country reports it to the UN’s labour statistics (ILOSTAT), and never estimated for a country that did not report: such a country is missing from that year, not counted as zero. So when two years’ figures differ, part of the difference can be a change in which countries reported. The model’s own year-to-year checks compare only countries that reported in both years.

Deaths: Argentina, Australia, Austria, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Colombia, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Ecuador, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Korea, Rep., Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Mauritius, Moldova, Mongolia, Netherlands, Norway, Panama, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russian Federation, Singapore, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Spain, Sri Lanka, Sweden, Switzerland, Thailand, Turkiye, Turkmenistan, United States, Uzbekistan

Injuries: Argentina, Australia, Austria, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Colombia, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Mauritius, Moldova, Mongolia, Netherlands, Norway, Panama, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Seychelles, Singapore, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Spain, Sri Lanka, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Sweden, Switzerland, Thailand, Turkiye, Turkmenistan, United States, Uzbekistan

The money method — per €1,000 spent

Two methods, never added together. The materials method counts only what the product’s list of materials reaches, so it is a floor. The money method counts the whole supply chain of the industry for each euro spent, so in principle it misses nothing — but it cannot see what this particular product is made of.

In words

This page gives the model's estimate, for the reference year 2023, of deaths and injuries attributed to the supply chain of an assault rifle, under the Economic-embedded scenario. The figure is a floor and counts the production phase only. The estimate follows the monetary route, which covers the whole supply chain of the industry that makes the product. Deaths are 2.7 × 10⁻⁶ deaths per €1,000 spent in its industry(1.8–4.2 × 10⁻⁶)MEDIUMS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r and injuries are 7.5 × 10⁻⁵ injuries per €1,000 spent in its industry(0.51–1.1 × 10⁻⁴)MEDIUMS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r.

By industry of the multi-regional tables, Mining and quarrying has the largest share of the deaths figure, 60%. This is one view of the total. It describes which industries carry the harm along the supply chain, and it does not say which country or conflict the harm was counted in.

Written by an AI language model (claude-sonnet-5-5 (Claude Code; reviewed by claude-opus-5-5)) on 2026-10-14, from the figures on this page. It wrote no numbers itself: each number was put in by the page from the calculation, and any text that wrote a number of its own, or mentioned anything its evidence does not contain, was thrown away unseen.

In human terms

This cannot be turned around without a traced material: you cannot divide by zero.

By the money method, about €240 million – €560 million of spending in its industry for each death.

Rounded so that it stays within the range, so the sentence never claims more than the range does.

Under each scenario

Five answers to how much of the harm counted in a place is linked to its economy. Same product, same year, same trade table: only the rule for linking harm to the economy changes.

Deaths per item under each scenarioEach line is one scenario’s range, on a scale where each step is ten times the last; the dot is its middle result.

Where it comes from

By industry — the money method

By industry — the money methodEach bar is one contributor’s share of the deaths in this figure; the rest is grouped last.Mining and quarrying — 60%Mining and quarrying60%Manufacture of basic metals — 21%Manufacture of basic metals21%Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment — 10%Manufacture of fabricated met…10%Land transport and transport via pipelines — 1.9%Land transport and transport …1.9%Water transport — 1.5%Water transport1.5%Crop and animal production, hunting and related service activities — 1.1%Crop and animal production, h…1.1%Warehousing and support activities for transportation — 0.83%Warehousing and support activ…0.83%Forestry and logging — 0.70%Forestry and logging0.70%Everything else — 2.8%Everything else2.8%
Every material, in full
By raw material — the materials method
MaterialShareDeaths per item

The chain, step by step

The largest step at each stage of the model. Each links to the full account, where every stage adds up to the headline figure.

  1. Assault rifle

The full breakdown →

Sources behind this figure

Every data file that went into this figure in this calculation, with the credit its licence asks for.

What this figure is not

Production phase only. Harm from using the product — driving the car, charging the phone — is not in this figure.

How to read these numbers →

Cite this figure

HumanToll 2026, run 2259, methodology v1.0. https://quiescence.eu/humantoll/product/assault-rifle/

What it is made of

Each line is one part of one AK-74 assault rifle, 5.45 × 39 mm, unloaded: how much of it goes in, how much had to be produced to get that much (some is wasted along the way), and where the figure comes from.

What it is made of
Component Quantity Source
Manufacture of weapons and ammunition (industry)
remainder 		3.40 kg Small Arms Survey, Weapon Identification Sheet: Kalashnikov AK-74 — weight (unloaded) 3.4… · low
composition by material not published in an open source

Down to raw materials

The whole chain worked out — everything one AK-74 assault rifle, 5.45 × 39 mm, unloaded needs, through every product in between, with all the waste along the way included.

Down to raw materials
Input Per item
Manufacture of weapons and ammunition (industry) 3.40 kg

An input marked “not in the register” is counted by weight but is not yet linked to any supply chain. Services such as transport appear as the euros, or tonnes carried a kilometre, that the list of materials gives them.

How much of it is known in detail

0% of this product’s weight is listed in detail in its own list of materials.

Its whole chain uses 3.40 kg of materials, waste included. 0% of that is raw materials the model knows — the part it can trace harm to — 0% is inputs not yet on the list, and 100% is an openly stated remainder.

The rest — 3.40 kg — is an openly stated remainder: the published composition covered only part of the product, so the rest is treated as an average product of its industry rather than made up.

In the table of what industries buy from each other it belongs to “Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment” (FIGARO industry C25).

In the table of what industries buy from each other it belongs to “Manufacture of fabricated metal products” (FIGARO industry C25).

Sources

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