Harm counted here, in the products the model covers

Each product whose supply chain counts deaths in Bulgaria, with its deaths per item and the part of that figure counted here — the other side of the story: harm suffered here, in things mostly bought elsewhere.

Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023.

Harm counted here, in the products the model covers
Product	Deaths per item
Glass Part from here: 3.7%	2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(0.93–4.5 × 10⁻¹⁰)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Wheat flour Part from here: 0.29%	1.1 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.44–2.6 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Pack of cigarettes Part from here: 0.18%	3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(1.4–8.8 × 10⁻¹⁰)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Steel Part from here: <0.1%	3.1 × 10⁻⁹ per item(1.7–6.7 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Passenger car tyre Part from here: <0.1%	5.2 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(0.27–1.1 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Croissant Part from here: <0.1%	0.42–2.4 × 10⁻⁸ per itemINDICATIVES-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Butter Part from here: <0.1%	3.2 × 10⁻⁷ per item(1.3–7.2 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Petrol car Part from here: <0.1%	9.5 × 10⁻⁶ per item(0.55–1.7 × 10⁻⁵)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Electric car Part from here: <0.1%	3.0 × 10⁻⁵ per item(1.8–5.5 × 10⁻⁵)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Bag of charcoal Part from here: <0.1%	1.5 × 10⁻⁷ per item(0.61–3.5 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Laptop Part from here: <0.1%	5.4 × 10⁻⁷ per item(0.21–1.2 × 10⁻⁶)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Smartphone Part from here: <0.1%	3.0 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.2–6.3 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Lithium-ion battery pack Part from here: <0.1%	6.9 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.36–1.4 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Printed circuit board assembly Part from here: <0.1%	1.6 × 10⁻⁶ per item(0.60–3.4 × 10⁻⁶)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

The figure is the product’s own, with its range. The share beside it is a middle estimate only: the calculation stores a range for each figure, not for each part of one.

Recorded here

Deaths recorded for this country, as their publishers counted them: war deaths from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), and deaths at work reported to the International Labour Organization. Both are records, and both are floors, not estimates of the whole. A war death is recorded where it happened, whoever died.

Recorded here
Kind of harm	Years	Deaths recorded	Latest year
Deaths at work (ILOSTAT, as reported)	1986–2024	3,190	80 (2024)

What it produces

The latest year on record for each material, and this country’s share of the production on record for that year. That is not always a share of the world total: when a publisher lumps small producers together as “other countries”, that group is not a country and is not loaded.

What it produces
Material	Produced	Share of recorded production	Quality
Crude petroleum (2025)	49,932 t	0.0%	gap filled
Natural gas (2024)	9,246,626 m3	0.0%	reported
Coal and lignite (2024)	14,992,782 t	0.2%	reported
Salt (2025)	2,700,000 t	1.1%	estimated
Silica sand (2025)	8,800,000 t	2.2%	estimated
Wheat (2024)	7,085,140 t	0.9%	reported
Milk (2024)	793,890 t	0.1%	reported
Maize (2024)	1,635,100 t	0.1%	reported
Rice (2024)	65,840 t	0.0%	reported
Soybeans (2024)	630 t	0.0%	reported
Sugar (2007)	16,281 t	0.0%	reported
Cotton (2024)	1,385 t	0.0%	reported
Livestock (2024)	210,770 t	0.1%	reported
Timber (2024)	2,507,580 m3	0.1%	reported
Tobacco (unmanufactured) (2024)	3,380 t	0.1%	reported
Wood charcoal (2024)	1,122 t	0.0%	estimated
Agricultural land (2024)	5,014,000 ha	0.1%	reported
Forest (2025)	3,959,000 ha	0.1%	external
Fresh water (2023)	832,000,000 m3	0.2%	reported

Where what it consumes is produced

For each material, how much of what this country uses was produced in each country. It is traced through trade, so a country that only passes a material on is not counted as its source: it hands on the mix it imported. The largest sources are listed and the rest added together.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Kazakhstan	36.2%	—
Iraq	17.5%	yes
Saudi Arabia	13.8%	—
Norway	11.4%	—
Libya	9.3%	yes
Guyana	3.0%	—
All other countries	8.9%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Azerbaijan	33.8%	—
Russian Federation	18.5%	yes
Turkmenistan	9.7%	—
United States	8.6%	—
Algeria	8.2%	yes
Kazakhstan	7.8%	—
All other countries	13.4%

Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Bulgaria (at home)	97.8%	—
Mozambique	0.6%	yes
Turkiye	0.3%	yes
Kyrgyz Republic	0.2%	—
Australia	0.2%	—
Tajikistan	0.2%	—
All other countries	0.8%

Cobalt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Congo, Dem. Rep.	66.4%	yes
Australia	8.5%	—
Canada	7.8%	—
Madagascar	6.5%	—
Turkiye	4.0%	yes
Russian Federation	2.4%	yes
All other countries	4.4%

Copper — 2017, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Chile	56.4%	—
Peru	26.3%	yes
Russian Federation	6.6%	yes
United States	4.4%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	4.2%	yes
Mexico	1.5%	yes
All other countries	0.5%

Nickel — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Australia	41.6%	—
Canada	28.9%	—
Russian Federation	21.2%	yes
Brazil	3.7%	yes
United States	1.8%	—
China	0.8%	yes
All other countries	2.1%

Tin — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Bolivia	56.4%	—
Indonesia	15.0%	yes
Peru	10.8%	—
Brazil	6.3%	yes
Malaysia	3.8%	—
China	2.5%	—
All other countries	5.3%

Tantalum — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Brazil	41.3%	yes
Rwanda	13.1%	—
Nigeria	11.5%	yes
Mozambique	11.1%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	9.1%	yes
Ethiopia	7.9%	yes
All other countries	6.1%

Tungsten — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	73.9%	—
Austria	8.0%	—
Bolivia	4.7%	—
Spain	4.3%	—
Portugal	4.0%	—
Korea, Dem. People's Rep.	2.0%	—
All other countries	3.2%

Iron ore — 2013, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Sweden	93.7%	—
Ukraine	3.9%	—
Brazil	1.3%	yes
Russian Federation	1.1%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Bauxite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Greece	30.8%	—
Guinea	22.5%	—
India	20.8%	yes
Brazil	16.2%	yes
China	5.2%	—
Turkiye	2.4%	yes
All other countries	2.1%

Rare earth elements — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	83.2%	—
Myanmar	8.3%	yes
United States	4.9%	—
Australia	2.1%	—
Russian Federation	0.7%	yes
India	0.5%	yes
All other countries	0.3%

Phosphate rock — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Brazil	100.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Manganese — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
South Africa	44.5%	yes
Gabon	24.6%	—
Ghana	10.0%	yes
Australia	9.6%	—
China	5.6%	—
Brazil	3.6%	yes
All other countries	2.1%

Natural graphite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	85.8%	—
Madagascar	4.9%	—
Mozambique	4.5%	yes
Brazil	2.0%	yes
Norway	1.0%	—
Tanzania	0.7%	yes
All other countries	1.0%

Salt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Bulgaria (at home)	95.4%	—
Egypt, Arab Rep.	1.7%	—
Turkiye	1.5%	yes
Germany	0.5%	yes
Pakistan	0.2%	yes
United Kingdom	0.2%	—
All other countries	0.6%

Silica sand — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Bulgaria (at home)	99.6%	—
All other countries	0.4%

Natural diamonds (rough) — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Canada	24.1%	—
Botswana	20.7%	—
Angola	19.3%	yes
Russian Federation	12.3%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	8.4%	yes
South Africa	5.3%	yes
All other countries	9.9%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Bulgaria (at home)	98.4%	—
Romania	1.0%	—
Hungary	0.2%	—
Austria	0.1%	—
Moldova	0.1%	—
All other countries	0.2%

Milk — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Bulgaria (at home)	77.3%	—
Romania	3.8%	—
Hungary	3.8%	—
Czechia	2.7%	—
Ukraine	2.7%	yes
Germany	2.2%	yes
All other countries	7.4%

Natural rubber — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Thailand	92.2%	yes
Indonesia	4.1%	yes
Cameroon	1.2%	yes
Viet Nam	1.1%	—
Cote d'Ivoire	0.7%	—
Cambodia	0.2%	—
All other countries	0.4%

Maize — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Bulgaria (at home)	82.0%	—
Ukraine	4.9%	yes
Romania	3.1%	—
Hungary	2.3%	—
France	2.3%	yes
Serbia	2.2%	—
All other countries	3.2%

Rice — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Bulgaria (at home)	49.9%	—
Myanmar	21.7%	yes
China	9.3%	—
Greece	7.0%	—
Italy	3.3%	—
India	2.4%	yes
All other countries	6.5%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Slovak Republic	33.9%	—
Ukraine	20.7%	yes
Romania	15.2%	—
Brazil	9.7%	yes
Bulgaria (at home)	7.2%	—
United States	3.3%	—
All other countries	10.1%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Ukraine	44.1%	yes
Brazil	14.0%	yes
Serbia	6.9%	—
Austria	6.2%	—
Germany	5.2%	yes
France	4.4%	yes
All other countries	19.2%

Coffee — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Brazil	42.4%	yes
Uganda	13.5%	yes
Viet Nam	10.5%	—
India	7.5%	yes
Indonesia	5.6%	yes
Peru	5.5%	—
All other countries	14.8%

Cocoa — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Cote d'Ivoire	67.2%	—
Liberia	8.9%	yes
Ecuador	7.9%	yes
Nigeria	7.4%	yes
Togo	2.2%	yes
Uganda	2.1%	yes
All other countries	4.4%

Palm oil — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Indonesia	62.4%	yes
Malaysia	29.2%	—
Guatemala	2.5%	yes
Papua New Guinea	2.0%	yes
Honduras	0.9%	yes
Philippines	0.7%	yes
All other countries	2.3%

Cotton — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Turkiye	40.3%	yes
Bulgaria (at home)	16.0%	—
Brazil	14.6%	yes
United States	13.2%	—
Azerbaijan	3.6%	—
India	2.1%	yes
All other countries	10.1%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Bulgaria (at home)	56.4%	—
Spain	12.3%	—
Germany	5.0%	yes
Poland	3.8%	—
Netherlands	3.3%	—
Hungary	3.3%	—
All other countries	15.9%

Timber — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Bulgaria (at home)	91.1%	—
Ukraine	3.0%	yes
Romania	1.0%	—
Germany	0.6%	yes
Czechia	0.6%	—
Austria	0.5%	—
All other countries	3.3%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Bulgaria (at home)	20.7%	—
Brazil	17.4%	yes
India	10.7%	yes
North Macedonia	7.7%	—
Bangladesh	4.9%	yes
Azerbaijan	4.1%	—
All other countries	34.5%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Cuba	23.5%	—
Nigeria	23.2%	yes
Bulgaria (at home)	15.4%	—
Ukraine	12.3%	yes
Indonesia	5.0%	yes
Poland	3.6%	—
All other countries	16.9%

“War recorded” marks a source country where war deaths were recorded in the same year. It is a fact about that country, not a claim that this material caused them.

Where what it produces is consumed

For each material this country produces, how much of it is used in each country, including at home.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Bulgaria (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Bulgaria (at home)	9.4%
North Macedonia	5.7%
All other countries	84.9%

Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Bulgaria (at home)	99.3%
Greece	0.3%
Spain	0.3%
Italy	0.0%
North Macedonia	0.0%
Portugal	0.0%
All other countries	0.1%

Salt — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Bulgaria (at home)	99.4%
Ukraine	0.1%
Hungary	0.1%
Greece	0.0%
Slovak Republic	0.0%
Croatia	0.0%
All other countries	0.3%

Silica sand — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Bulgaria (at home)	96.9%
Romania	2.2%
Turkiye	0.5%
Azerbaijan	0.1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina	0.0%
Moldova	0.0%
All other countries	0.2%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Algeria	28.7%
Egypt, Arab Rep.	19.6%
Thailand	9.5%
Spain	6.0%
Indonesia	5.2%
Greece	5.1%
All other countries	25.8%

Milk — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Bulgaria (at home)	94.5%
Greece	3.7%
Croatia	0.2%
All other countries	1.7%

Maize — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Bulgaria (at home)	38.8%
Greece	11.6%
United Kingdom	7.2%
Turkiye	6.1%
Romania	5.4%
Saudi Arabia	3.6%
All other countries	27.3%

Rice — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Turkiye	27.4%
Romania	26.8%
Bulgaria (at home)	12.7%
Poland	3.6%
Syrian Arab Republic	2.0%
Ukraine	1.8%
All other countries	25.7%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Bulgaria (at home)	25.5%
North Macedonia	0.2%
All other countries	74.3%

Sugar — 2007, by value
Consumed in	Share
Bulgaria (at home)	63.1%
All other countries	36.9%

Cotton — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Bulgaria (at home)	91.9%
Belgium	0.5%
Luxembourg	0.0%
All other countries	7.6%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Bulgaria (at home)	62.8%
Turkiye	15.6%
Greece	5.9%
France	3.7%
Slovak Republic	2.3%
Romania	2.3%
All other countries	7.4%

Timber — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Bulgaria (at home)	91.3%
Greece	4.4%
Italy	0.9%
United Arab Emirates	0.3%
North Macedonia	0.2%
Hungary	0.1%
All other countries	2.9%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Bulgaria (at home)	12.1%
Russian Federation	9.2%
Romania	6.5%
Ukraine	5.4%
Greece	5.3%
Korea, Rep.	5.1%
All other countries	56.4%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Bulgaria (at home)	85.7%
Sweden	6.2%
North Macedonia	0.6%
Albania	0.2%
All other countries	7.3%

The number this page does not show

The harm these supply chains carry is calculated, and not shown.

The model passes the harm counted where a material is produced on to the countries that use it. That is a count of people from a recorded calculation, with no range yet, and nothing of that kind is published before the model passes its test on past years. What this page can show without it is the structure: who produces, who uses, and where harm is recorded along the way.

Sources

Sources
Version of the data	Downloaded	File fingerprint
ilostat · fatal-20261006	2026-10-06	`700fa580091e41e7…`
eia · intl-20261003	2026-10-06	`9251a5920ebe7044…`
usgs_mcs · MCS2026-20260206	2026-09-29	`582a0aa231aea53d…`
faostat · qcl-20251231	2026-09-29	`c5835418c18f9322…`
faostat · fo-20260109	2026-09-29	`c2f7fc99651f620b…`
faostat · rl-20261002	2026-10-06	`39b739fbfb694971…`
aquastat · ds-20260713	2026-10-06	`3bca93e1d4430099…`
baci · HS92_V202601-20260130	2026-09-29	`43259580059fa83e…`
ucdp · ged-v26.1	2026-09-10	`8c941d84954e555e…`

CEPII, BACI — Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level, CEPII Working Paper 2010-23. CEPII did not endorse these derived figures — HS92_V202601-20260130, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/data/BACI_HS92_V202601.zip. Licensed under Open Licence 2.0 (Licence Ouverte, Etalab) (https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf).
FAO. AQUASTAT, FAO's Global Information System on Water and Agriculture: municipal water withdrawal. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — ds-20260713, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://api.data.apps.fao.org/api/v2/bigquery. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — fo-20260109, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Forestry_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — qcl-20251231, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — rl-20261002, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Inputs_LandUse_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
International Labour Organization, ILOSTAT. The ILO did not prepare, review or endorse these derived figures; responsibility for them rests solely with Quiescence — fatal-20261006, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://sdmx.ilo.org/rest/data/ILO,DF_INJ_FATL_ECO_NB,1.0/all. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, International Energy Statistics — intl-20261003, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://www.eia.gov/opendata/bulk/INTL.zip. Used under U.S. Government work — public domain (EIA Copyrights and Reuse); see https://www.eia.gov/about/copyrights_reuse.php.
U.S. Geological Survey, National Minerals Information Center, Mineral Commodity Summaries — MCS2026-20260206, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/file/get/69837e43b66b01367d7ec7c7?f=__disk__d3%2Fac%2F84%2Fd3ac8466552946c5e8caa2c2c6338d9e1aff655d. Licensed under Creative Commons Zero v1.0 Universal (public domain dedication) (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/).
Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), Uppsala University — Davies, Pettersson and Oberg, "Organized violence 1989-2025, and violent political protests", Journal of Peace Research (2026), doi:10.1093/jopres/xjag046 — ged-v26.1, retrieved 2026-09-10 from https://ucdp.uu.se/downloads/ged/ged261-csv.zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.

Sources →

Bulgaria