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The full breakdown

How the figure for Glass is built

Every stage the model passes through, with its number. Each table below divides the same headline figure a different way, and each one adds up to it exactly — the page checks, and refuses to show a table that does not.

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The headline

One item is one kilogram of soda-lime glass. Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023. Each figure is the middle result of 2,000 runs of the calculation, with the range that holds nine in ten of them beside it, and the grade that range earns.

Materials method — 2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(0.93–4.5 × 10⁻¹⁰)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

Money method — 2.6 × 10⁻⁶ per €1,000 spent in its industry(1.7–4.0 × 10⁻⁶)MEDIUMS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

Each step below is a middle estimate. The model works out a range for the whole figure, not for each step, so the range that applies to a step is the headline’s.

1 · What it is made of, and what each material carries

How much of each raw material is in one item, the deaths linked to each kilogram of it in this calculation, and the two multiplied together: its part of the headline figure.

1 · What it is made of, and what each material carries
MaterialPer itemDeaths per kgPart of the figureShare
Silica sand7.3 × 10⁻⁴ t3.0 × 10⁻¹⁰2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰100%
Total2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰= the headline figure, 2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰

2 · Where the harm was counted

The same headline, by the country where the harm the materials carry was counted.

2 · Where the harm was counted
CountryPart of the figureShare
Turkiye4.2 × 10⁻¹¹19%
Italy3.9 × 10⁻¹¹18%
United States3.6 × 10⁻¹¹17%
France1.9 × 10⁻¹¹8.6%
Mexico1.6 × 10⁻¹¹7.5%
Spain1.3 × 10⁻¹¹6.1%
Korea, Rep.1.2 × 10⁻¹¹5.6%
Moldova1.0 × 10⁻¹¹4.8%
Bulgaria8.1 × 10⁻¹²3.7%
Netherlands6.1 × 10⁻¹²2.8%
Germany4.4 × 10⁻¹²2.0%
Japan3.6 × 10⁻¹²1.7%
Poland1.7 × 10⁻¹²0.79%
Canada1.0 × 10⁻¹²0.47%
Argentina9.9 × 10⁻¹³0.45%
Russian Federation9.8 × 10⁻¹³0.44%
Latvia8.7 × 10⁻¹³0.39%
Austria8.6 × 10⁻¹³0.39%
India7.4 × 10⁻¹³0.33%
Czechia6.9 × 10⁻¹³0.31%
Belgium5.7 × 10⁻¹³0.26%
Guatemala3.7 × 10⁻¹³0.17%
Finland3.1 × 10⁻¹³0.14%
Australia2.5 × 10⁻¹³0.11%
Indonesia8.9 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Norway2.4 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Iran, Islamic Rep.2.2 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
South Africa1.3 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Egypt, Arab Rep.1.3 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Saudi Arabia5.4 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
China3.9 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Total2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰= the headline figure, 2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰

3 · Through which kind of harm

The same headline, by kind of harm: war, work, poverty, pollution.

3 · Through which kind of harm
Kind of harmPart of the figureShare
Work2.0 × 10⁻¹⁰91%
Conflict and political violence2.1 × 10⁻¹¹9.5%
Total2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰= the headline figure, 2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰

4 · Which wars

The war deaths in the headline, by war. Harm of any other kind is the row that names no war.

4 · Which wars
WarPart of the figureShare
Not placed2.0 × 10⁻¹⁰91%
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Sinaloa Cartel4.1 × 10⁻¹²1.9%
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Santa Rosa de Lima Cartel3.5 × 10⁻¹²1.6%
Juarez Cartel - Sinaloa Cartel3.1 × 10⁻¹²1.4%
Carteles Unidos - Jalisco Cartel New Generation2.4 × 10⁻¹²1.1%
Turkey: Kurdistan2.0 × 10⁻¹²0.89%
Caborca Cartel, Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos - Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos1.4 × 10⁻¹²0.61%
DZ Mafia - Yoda1.0 × 10⁻¹²0.45%
Cartel Independiente de Acapulco - Los Rusos, UPOEG5.9 × 10⁻¹³0.27%
Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos - Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos3.7 × 10⁻¹³0.17%
Carteles Unidos, Guerreros Unidos - Los Tlacos3.4 × 10⁻¹³0.16%
Los Ardillos - Los Tlacos2.5 × 10⁻¹³0.11%
M18 - MS-132.2 × 10⁻¹³0.10%
India: Kashmir2.2 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Kuki - Meitei1.9 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Zetas Vieja Escuela1.8 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
India: Government1.7 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Russia (Soviet Union): Government8.3 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
MS-13 - Civilians8.0 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
CPI-Maoist - Civilians7.8 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
M18 - Civilians6.4 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Indonesia: West Papua5.6 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Los Rusos, UPOEG - Los Tlacos5.2 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Civilians4.7 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
IS - Civilians4.4 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Pájaros Sierra4.3 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Russia - Ukraine4.1 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
PKK - Civilians3.7 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Government of Mexico - Civilians3.6 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Kashmir insurgents - Civilians3.4 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Los Ardillos - Los Rojos3.1 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Gulf Cartel - Los Zetas - Cártel del Noreste faction3.0 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
OPM - Civilians2.7 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Iran: Government1.8 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Hindus (India) - Muslims (India)1.5 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Government of India - Civilians1.3 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Government of Egypt - Civilians1.0 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Gulf Cartel - Sinaloa Cartel1.0 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Gulf Cartel - Jalisco Cartel New Generation1.0 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
CATA - Codeta7.9 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
India: Western South East Asia7.3 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Government of Indonesia - Civilians6.6 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Yemen (North Yemen): Government5.4 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Government of South Africa - Civilians5.2 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Russia: Islamic State4.3 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Myanmar (Burma): Kachin3.9 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Myanmar (Burma): Government3.6 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
VHP - Civilians3.6 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Egypt: Islamic State2.1 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Iran: Islamic State2.0 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
India - Pakistan1.8 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
India: Nagaland1.8 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
NSCN-IM - Civilians1.8 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
PLFI - Civilians1.8 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Guerreros Unidos - Los Tlacos1.7 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Russia (Soviet Union): Chechnya1.7 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Government of Iran - Civilians1.5 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Total2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰= the headline figure, 2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰

5 · The money method: which industries

The figure per €1,000, by the industry where the harm happened, anywhere in the supply chain.

5 · The money method: which industries
IndustryPart of the figureShare
Mining and quarrying2.2 × 10⁻⁶85%
Manufacture of basic metals7.5 × 10⁻⁸2.9%
Land transport and transport via pipelines6.5 × 10⁻⁸2.5%
Water transport4.4 × 10⁻⁸1.7%
Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products4.4 × 10⁻⁸1.7%
Crop and animal production, hunting and related service activities3.6 × 10⁻⁸1.4%
Forestry and logging2.8 × 10⁻⁸1.1%
Warehousing and support activities for transportation2.7 × 10⁻⁸1.0%
Air transport1.6 × 10⁻⁸0.61%
Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles9.2 × 10⁻⁹0.35%
Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment5.3 × 10⁻⁹0.20%
Construction4.1 × 10⁻⁹0.16%
Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products3.9 × 10⁻⁹0.15%
Manufacture of other transport equipment3.6 × 10⁻⁹0.14%
Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply3.6 × 10⁻⁹0.14%
Postal and courier activities3.4 × 10⁻⁹0.13%
Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles3.1 × 10⁻⁹0.12%
Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products2.5 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Water collection, treatment and supply2.4 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Security and investigation, service and landscape, office administrative and support activities2.0 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Rental and leasing activities1.5 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Sewerage, waste management, remediation activities1.5 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Public administration and defence; compulsory social security1.4 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Employment activities1.3 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles1.0 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Manufacture of rubber and plastic products8.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Legal and accounting activities; activities of head offices; management consultancy activities7.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of paper and paper products6.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c.5.7 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Accommodation and food service activities5.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products4.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Repair and installation of machinery and equipment4.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of food products; beverages and tobacco products4.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers3.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials3.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of textiles, wearing apparel, leather and related products3.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of electrical equipment3.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Architectural and engineering activities; technical testing and analysis2.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Travel agency, tour operator reservation service and related activities2.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Human health activities2.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Real estate activities2.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Advertising and market research1.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Activities of membership organisations1.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Repair of computers and personal and household goods1.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Computer programming, consultancy, and information service activities1.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Other personal service activities1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Financial service activities, except insurance and pension funding1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Printing and reproduction of recorded media1.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Other professional, scientific and technical activities; veterinary activities9.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Manufacture of furniture; other manufacturing9.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Telecommunications7.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Sports activities and amusement and recreation activities7.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Fishing and aquaculture6.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations6.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Creative, arts and entertainment activities; libraries, archives, museums and other cultural activities; gambling and betting activities5.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Education4.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Activities auxiliary to financial services and insurance activities3.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Insurance, reinsurance and pension funding, except compulsory social security3.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Motion picture, video, television programme production; programming and broadcasting activities3.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Publishing activities2.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Scientific research and development2.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Residential care activities and social work activities without accommodation1.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Activities of households as employers; undifferentiated goods- and services-producing activities of households for own use1.6 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Total2.6 × 10⁻⁶= the headline figure, 2.6 × 10⁻⁶

6 · The money method: which countries

The figure per €1,000, by the country of the industry where the harm happened.

6 · The money method: which countries
CountryPart of the figureShare
Not placed2.3 × 10⁻⁶86%
Mexico2.1 × 10⁻⁷7.8%
Turkiye3.6 × 10⁻⁸1.4%
Brazil3.1 × 10⁻⁸1.2%
Russian Federation2.5 × 10⁻⁸0.95%
United States1.9 × 10⁻⁸0.71%
Korea, Rep.8.5 × 10⁻⁹0.32%
Canada8.1 × 10⁻⁹0.31%
France5.5 × 10⁻⁹0.21%
India4.0 × 10⁻⁹0.15%
Japan3.7 × 10⁻⁹0.14%
Italy3.6 × 10⁻⁹0.14%
Germany3.3 × 10⁻⁹0.13%
Spain3.2 × 10⁻⁹0.12%
Indonesia2.9 × 10⁻⁹0.11%
Poland2.6 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Argentina1.8 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Portugal1.5 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Australia1.4 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Romania9.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Czechia9.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Bulgaria8.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Austria6.7 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Greece5.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Cyprus3.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Belgium3.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Sweden3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Croatia3.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Latvia3.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Hungary3.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Lithuania2.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Slovak Republic2.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Denmark2.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Norway2.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Netherlands2.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Switzerland2.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Finland2.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Saudi Arabia1.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Slovenia1.7 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
South Africa9.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Ireland9.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Estonia7.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
China4.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Luxembourg4.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
United Kingdom3.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Malta3.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Serbia1.6 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Total2.6 × 10⁻⁶= the headline figure, 2.6 × 10⁻⁶

What this trail does not show

Sources behind this figure

HumanToll 2026, run 2259, methodology v1.0. https://quiescence.eu/humantoll/explain/glass/

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