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The full breakdown

How the figure for Butter is built

Every stage the model passes through, with its number. Each table below divides the same headline figure a different way, and each one adds up to it exactly — the page checks, and refuses to show a table that does not.

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The headline

One item is one kilogram of butter from cow's milk. Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023. Each figure is the middle result of 2,000 runs of the calculation, with the range that holds nine in ten of them beside it, and the grade that range earns.

Materials method — 3.2 × 10⁻⁷ per item(1.3–7.2 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

Money method — 3.4 × 10⁻⁶ per €1,000 spent in its industry(2.3–5.1 × 10⁻⁶)MEDIUMS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

Each step below is a middle estimate. The model works out a range for the whole figure, not for each step, so the range that applies to a step is the headline’s.

1 · What it is made of, and what each material carries

How much of each raw material is in one item, the deaths linked to each kilogram of it in this calculation, and the two multiplied together: its part of the headline figure.

1 · What it is made of, and what each material carries
MaterialPer itemDeaths per kgPart of the figureShare
Milk0.022 t1.5 × 10⁻⁸3.2 × 10⁻⁷100%
Total3.2 × 10⁻⁷= the headline figure, 3.2 × 10⁻⁷

2 · Where the harm was counted

The same headline, by the country where the harm the materials carry was counted.

2 · Where the harm was counted
CountryPart of the figureShare
Ukraine8.5 × 10⁻⁸27%
Israel4.5 × 10⁻⁸14%
Sudan4.2 × 10⁻⁸13%
Somalia, Fed. Rep.4.2 × 10⁻⁸13%
Mexico1.2 × 10⁻⁸3.9%
Pakistan8.7 × 10⁻⁹2.8%
Turkiye7.2 × 10⁻⁹2.3%
Syrian Arab Republic7.0 × 10⁻⁹2.2%
Ethiopia6.8 × 10⁻⁹2.2%
France4.6 × 10⁻⁹1.5%
Niger4.2 × 10⁻⁹1.3%
Burkina Faso4.2 × 10⁻⁹1.3%
United States4.2 × 10⁻⁹1.3%
Mali3.9 × 10⁻⁹1.2%
Yemen, Rep.2.8 × 10⁻⁹0.89%
Italy2.8 × 10⁻⁹0.89%
Myanmar2.7 × 10⁻⁹0.86%
Japan2.3 × 10⁻⁹0.74%
Afghanistan2.3 × 10⁻⁹0.71%
Germany2.1 × 10⁻⁹0.66%
Brazil2.0 × 10⁻⁹0.64%
India1.9 × 10⁻⁹0.60%
Kenya1.8 × 10⁻⁹0.58%
Colombia1.4 × 10⁻⁹0.45%
South Sudan1.4 × 10⁻⁹0.44%
Spain1.1 × 10⁻⁹0.36%
Russian Federation9.7 × 10⁻¹⁰0.31%
Korea, Rep.8.3 × 10⁻¹⁰0.26%
Haiti7.4 × 10⁻¹⁰0.23%
Portugal6.5 × 10⁻¹⁰0.21%
Romania5.9 × 10⁻¹⁰0.19%
Austria5.5 × 10⁻¹⁰0.18%
Ecuador5.0 × 10⁻¹⁰0.16%
Belarus4.8 × 10⁻¹⁰0.15%
Uzbekistan4.8 × 10⁻¹⁰0.15%
Poland4.6 × 10⁻¹⁰0.15%
Argentina4.5 × 10⁻¹⁰0.14%
Canada3.9 × 10⁻¹⁰0.12%
Switzerland3.7 × 10⁻¹⁰0.12%
Uganda3.7 × 10⁻¹⁰0.12%
Ireland3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰0.12%
Nigeria3.5 × 10⁻¹⁰0.11%
Azerbaijan3.5 × 10⁻¹⁰0.11%
Lebanon3.3 × 10⁻¹⁰0.11%
Honduras2.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Cameroon2.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Georgia2.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Czechia2.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Greece2.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Central African Republic2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Belgium2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Denmark1.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Thailand1.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Burundi1.7 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Luxembourg1.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Netherlands1.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Hungary1.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Cyprus1.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Australia1.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Lithuania1.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Armenia1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Bulgaria1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Sweden1.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Croatia9.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Slovak Republic8.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Slovenia8.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Latvia8.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Costa Rica8.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Sri Lanka8.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Chad7.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Finland7.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Moldova5.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Estonia5.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Turkmenistan5.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Malta4.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Norway4.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Benin4.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Bangladesh3.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Panama2.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Iraq2.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Mongolia2.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Venezuela, RB1.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Guatemala1.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Congo, Dem. Rep.1.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Tunisia1.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Iran, Islamic Rep.1.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Morocco1.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Iceland1.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Mauritania1.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Togo9.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Mozambique7.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Egypt, Arab Rep.5.6 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Indonesia4.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Peru4.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Philippines3.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Saudi Arabia2.6 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
South Africa2.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Eswatini2.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Mauritius1.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Ghana5.2 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Bolivia4.8 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Algeria4.7 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
China2.7 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Libya1.5 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Papua New Guinea1.5 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Total3.2 × 10⁻⁷= the headline figure, 3.2 × 10⁻⁷

3 · Through which kind of harm

The same headline, by kind of harm: war, work, poverty, pollution.

3 · Through which kind of harm
Kind of harmPart of the figureShare
Conflict and political violence2.8 × 10⁻⁷89%
Work3.4 × 10⁻⁸11%
Total3.2 × 10⁻⁷= the headline figure, 3.2 × 10⁻⁷

4 · Which wars

The war deaths in the headline, by war. Harm of any other kind is the row that names no war.

4 · Which wars
WarPart of the figureShare
Russia - Ukraine8.5 × 10⁻⁸27%
Israel: Palestine4.3 × 10⁻⁸14%
Somalia: Government3.8 × 10⁻⁸12%
Not placed3.4 × 10⁻⁸11%
Sudan: Government2.7 × 10⁻⁸8.7%
RSF - Civilians1.2 × 10⁻⁸3.7%
Pakistan: Government6.4 × 10⁻⁹2.0%
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Sinaloa Cartel4.9 × 10⁻⁹1.6%
Ethiopia: Government/Amhara3.6 × 10⁻⁹1.1%
SSC-Khatumo Administration - Republic of Somaliland2.9 × 10⁻⁹0.91%
Syria: Government2.8 × 10⁻⁹0.88%
IS - Civilians2.7 × 10⁻⁹0.86%
Burkina Faso: Government2.5 × 10⁻⁹0.81%
Yemen (North Yemen): Government2.4 × 10⁻⁹0.76%
Niger: Islamic State2.2 × 10⁻⁹0.68%
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Santa Rosa de Lima Cartel2.1 × 10⁻⁹0.67%
Juarez Cartel - Sinaloa Cartel1.9 × 10⁻⁹0.60%
Syria: Islamic State1.6 × 10⁻⁹0.52%
Kenya: Northeastern Province and Coast1.6 × 10⁻⁹0.50%
Mali: Government1.6 × 10⁻⁹0.50%
Myanmar (Burma): Government1.5 × 10⁻⁹0.48%
Carteles Unidos - Jalisco Cartel New Generation1.4 × 10⁻⁹0.45%
Ethiopia: Oromiya1.3 × 10⁻⁹0.42%
Beni Halba Baggara - Salamat Baggara1.3 × 10⁻⁹0.40%
Hamas - Civilians1.1 × 10⁻⁹0.34%
JNIM - Civilians1.1 × 10⁻⁹0.33%
Afghanistan: Islamic State9.6 × 10⁻¹⁰0.31%
Luac Jang Dinka - Pakam Dinka9.3 × 10⁻¹⁰0.29%
SNA - SDF9.1 × 10⁻¹⁰0.29%
Habaniya - Salamat Baggara8.8 × 10⁻¹⁰0.28%
Caborca Cartel, Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos - Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos8.2 × 10⁻¹⁰0.26%
Pakistan: Balochistan8.1 × 10⁻¹⁰0.26%
Pakistan: Islamic State6.4 × 10⁻¹⁰0.20%
Arab - Gimir6.3 × 10⁻¹⁰0.20%
IS - JNIM6.3 × 10⁻¹⁰0.20%
Comando Vermelho - PCC5.8 × 10⁻¹⁰0.19%
Iran - Israel5.7 × 10⁻¹⁰0.18%
India: Kashmir5.6 × 10⁻¹⁰0.18%
Al-Shabaab - Civilians5.5 × 10⁻¹⁰0.18%
Government of Ethiopia - Civilians5.4 × 10⁻¹⁰0.17%
Government of Myanmar (Burma) - Civilians5.2 × 10⁻¹⁰0.17%
Burkina Faso: Islamic State5.2 × 10⁻¹⁰0.16%
Kuki - Meitei4.8 × 10⁻¹⁰0.15%
Afghanistan: Government4.7 × 10⁻¹⁰0.15%
India: Government4.5 × 10⁻¹⁰0.14%
Government of Russia (Soviet Union) - Civilians4.5 × 10⁻¹⁰0.14%
OLA - Civilians4.2 × 10⁻¹⁰0.13%
IS - SDF4.2 × 10⁻¹⁰0.13%
Niger: Government4.2 × 10⁻¹⁰0.13%
Azerbaijan: Artsakh (Nagorno-Karabakh)4.2 × 10⁻¹⁰0.13%
Turkey: Kurdistan4.0 × 10⁻¹⁰0.13%
Government of Mali - Civilians3.9 × 10⁻¹⁰0.12%
Twic Dinka - Ngok Dinka3.8 × 10⁻¹⁰0.12%
Fano - Civilians3.8 × 10⁻¹⁰0.12%
Anuak - Nuer3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰0.12%
Cartel Independiente de Acapulco - Los Rusos, UPOEG3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰0.11%
Israel: Southern Lebanon3.5 × 10⁻¹⁰0.11%
Deir ez Zor Military Council - SDF3.3 × 10⁻¹⁰0.10%
Mali: Government/Azawad3.3 × 10⁻¹⁰0.10%
Mali: Islamic State3.2 × 10⁻¹⁰0.10%
AQAP - Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council3.2 × 10⁻¹⁰0.10%
Nigeria: Government3.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Government of Burkina Faso - Civilians2.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Myanmar (Burma): Kachin2.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
DZ Mafia - Yoda2.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Government of Afghanistan - Civilians2.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
M18 - MS-132.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Government of South Sudan - Civilians2.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos - Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos2.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Shia (Pakistan) - Sunni (Pakistan)2.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Bonde do Maluco - Comando Vermelho2.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Carteles Unidos, Guerreros Unidos - Los Tlacos2.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
CPI-Maoist - Civilians2.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Sa'ad subclan of Habar Gidir clan (Hawiye) - Leelkase subclan (Darod)2.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Arab - Masalit2.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Cartel do Norte - Comando Vermelho1.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
EGC - Civilians1.7 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Myanmar (Burma): Karen1.7 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Dan na Ambassagou - JNIM1.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Djerma (Zherma) - Fulani1.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Los Choneros - Los Lobos1.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Los Ardillos - Los Tlacos1.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
JAS - Civilians1.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Somalia: Islamic State1.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Syria: Government/Rojava Kurdistan1.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Bonde dos 40 - PCC1.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Government of Haiti - Civilians1.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Nigeria: Islamic State1.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Myanmar (Burma): Karenni1.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Central African Republic: Government1.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Hausa - Nuba1.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
G9 - G-Pep1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Burundi: Government1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Terre Noire - Civilians1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
5 Segond, Taliban - Civilians1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Zetas Vieja Escuela1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Grand Ravine - Civilians1.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Uganda: Islamic State1.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Afghanistan - Pakistan1.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Comando Vermelho - GDE1.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Nova Okaida - Estados Unidos1.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
GDE, PCC - Sindicato do Crime1.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Amhara - Oromo9.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Colombia: Government9.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
FARC-EMC - Civilians9.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Kashmir insurgents - Civilians8.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
PCC - Sindicato do Crime8.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
BRAS - Civilians8.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Amigos Para Sempre - Família Terror Amapá8.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Cameroon: Ambazonia8.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Forces of Tony Peña - Los Hondureños8.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
G-Pep - Civilians7.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of Israel - Civilians7.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Comando Vermelho - Civilians7.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Myanmar (Burma): Arakan7.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Fatales, Los Aguilas - Los Lobos , Los Tiguerones6.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Israel - Syria6.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
FARC-EMC - ELN5.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Los Chone Killers - Latin Kings5.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Bonde dos 13, PCC - Comando Vermelho5.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Bonde dos 40 - Comando Vermelho5.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of Burundi - Civilians5.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
TTP - Civilians5.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
M18 - Civilians5.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
AAKG - CPC5.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
United Kingdom, United States of America - Yemen5.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Cameroon: Government5.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Hawazma - Nuba5.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Russia (Soviet Union): Government5.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Toposa - Turkana5.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Dinka - Nuer5.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Los Aguilas - Los Lobos4.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Ambazonia insurgents - Civilians4.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Hausa - Funj4.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Dozos (Mali) - JNIM4.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Los Choneros - Los Lagartos4.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Los Lobos - Los Tiguerones4.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Los Lagartos - Mafia 184.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Myanmar (Burma): Kokang4.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Guraghe - Mareqo4.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of Pakistan - Civilians4.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Chad: Government4.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of Sudan - Civilians4.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of Somalia - Civilians3.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
FARC - Segunda Marquetalia - Civilians3.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
ELN - Civilians3.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Comando Vermelho - Holanda3.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Hindus (India) - Muslims (India)3.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of Yemen (North Yemen) - Civilians3.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Los Aguilas - Los Lobos , Los Tiguerones3.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of India - Civilians3.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Syrian insurgents - Civilians3.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Los Rusos, UPOEG - Los Tlacos3.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Los Costenos - Los Pepes3.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Gran Grif - Civilians3.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
400 Mawozo - Civilians3.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
IS - JAS3.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Farmers (Chad) - Herders (Chad)3.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
EGC - ELN, FARC-EMC3.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Murle - Nuer2.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Comando Vermelho - Massa2.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
EGC - ELN2.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Civilians2.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
ARSA - Civilians2.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Nova Okaida - PCC2.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Pájaros Sierra2.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Bonde do Maluco - Katiara2.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Bonde do Maluco - Civilians2.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Dozos (Mali) - Civilians2.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Benin: Government2.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
SDF - Civilians2.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Cameroon: Islamic State2.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of Mexico - Civilians2.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Bonde dos 40 - Civilians2.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Al-Shabaab - IS2.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Comando Vermelho - Terceiro Comando Puro2.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Los Ardillos - Los Rojos1.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
India: Western South East Asia1.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Gulf Cartel - Los Zetas - Cártel del Noreste faction1.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Fulani - Mwaghavul1.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Fulani - Mwaghavul , Ron1.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Central African Republic: Logone1.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Fulani - Tiv1.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Dan na Ambassagou - Civilians1.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of Venezuela - Civilians1.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
PCC - Civilians1.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
CPC - Civilians1.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Tunisia: Government1.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Farmers (Nigeria) - Herders (Nigeria)1.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
NUG - Civilians1.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Ajeita - Bonde do Maluco1.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Morocco: Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic (Western Sahara)1.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
EGC - Autodefensas Conquistadoras de la Sierra Nevada1.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
South Sudan: Government1.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
GATIA - IS1.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Iran: Government1.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of Cameroon - Civilians1.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
MS-13 - Civilians1.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Mauritania: Government1.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of Colombia - Civilians1.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Misseriya - Ngok Dinka1.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of Brazil - Civilians9.8 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Nigeria: Biafra9.5 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
VHP - Civilians9.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Anti-Bala - Bala na Cara9.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Amhara - Gumuz8.6 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Thailand: Patani8.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Bonde dos 40 - PCM8.2 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Iraq: Government8.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
LeJ - Civilians7.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
PKK - Civilians7.2 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Birom - Fulani7.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Comités locaux de vigilance - JAS6.7 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Gulf Cartel - Sinaloa Cartel6.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Gulf Cartel - Jalisco Cartel New Generation6.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Supporters of Awami League - Supporters of BNP6.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Atyap - Fulani6.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
IS - MSA5.8 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Karimjo - Wurukum5.7 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Black Axe - Eyie5.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Mozambique: Islamic State4.8 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Forces of Terwase Akwanza - Civilians4.8 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
India - Pakistan4.7 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
India: Nagaland4.7 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
NSCN-IM - Civilians4.7 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
PLFI - Civilians4.7 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Government of Egypt - Civilians4.7 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Government of Central African Republic - Civilians4.6 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Comandos de la Frontera - Civilians4.6 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Fulani - Idoma4.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Fulani - Kuteb4.2 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Peru: Government4.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Los Lobos - R73.7 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Togo: Government3.6 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
IS - HTS3.5 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Autodefensas Conquistadoras de la Sierra Nevada - Civilians3.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Kokorat sans ras - Civilians3.2 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Supporters of Awami League - Supporters of Jamaat-e-Islami3.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Government of Nigeria - Civilians3.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Indonesia: West Papua2.8 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
URDPC - Civilians2.6 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Russia: Islamic State2.6 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Chain Guys - Full Force2.5 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Government of eSwatini (Swaziland) - Civilians2.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Los Costenos - Civilians2.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Philippines: Government2.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Myanmar (Burma): Shan1.8 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Lengola - Mbole1.7 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
CATA - Codeta1.5 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Hausa - Fulani1.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
RED-TABARA - Civilians1.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
OPM - Civilians1.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Iran: Islamic State1.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Government of Rwanda - Civilians1.2 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
DR Congo (Zaire): Government1.2 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
DR Congo (Zaire): Islamic State1.2 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Guerreros Unidos - Los Tlacos1.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Russia (Soviet Union): Chechnya1.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Farmers (CAR) - Herders (CAR)1.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
AAKG - Civilians1.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Fulani - Irigwe9.8 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Government of South Africa - Civilians9.7 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Philippines: Islamic State9.6 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Government of Iran - Civilians9.6 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Egypt: Islamic State9.4 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Fulani - Igala8.2 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Amigos dos Amigos - Comando Vermelho8.2 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
FDN - PCC8.2 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
IS - Naparama8.2 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Greenlanders - NDV7.4 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Black Axe - Maphite7.4 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
M23 - VDP7.4 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Mobondo - Civilians7.1 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
M23 - Civilians5.7 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Kusasi - Mamprusi5.2 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Rwanda: Government5.0 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Supporters of APC - Supporters of PDP4.9 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Algeria: Government4.7 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Government of DR Congo (Zaire) - Civilians4.6 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Choa Arab - Kotoko4.4 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Choa Arab - Musgum4.4 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Black Axe - SVC4.1 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
IPOB - Civilians4.1 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Government of Mozambique - Civilians3.5 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Government of Indonesia - Civilians3.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Agatu - Fulani3.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
IS - Yan Gora3.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Deebam - NDV3.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Patani insurgents - Civilians2.8 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
URDPC - Zaire self-defense group2.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Zaire self-defense group - Civilians2.1 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
VDP - Civilians2.0 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
CPP - Civilians2.0 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Jukun - Tiv1.6 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
FPIC Chambre noire sanduku - URDPC1.5 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
FPIC Chambre noire sanduku - Civilians1.5 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Libya: Government1.5 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
AFC - Civilians1.1 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
AFP-Gutabara - CNPSC, FABB1.0 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
AFP-Gutabara - FABB3.7 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
FRPI - Civilians3.1 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Philippines: Mindanao2.4 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Government of Philippines - Civilians2.4 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Basonge - Bena Nkoma (Bakwa Luntu, Luba)2.0 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
FDLR-FOCA - Civilians1.7 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
FPIC Chambre noire sanduku - FRPI1.7 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Ambulin, Lungupin, Nenei, Sau, Sau Walep, Yandamau, Yopo - Kaekin, Lanzerakin, Lyona, Mupapalu, Murap, Palinau, Sakaikin, Sikin, Wapukin1.5 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Mayi Mayi Chini ya Tuna - Civilians1.4 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Luba - Batwa1.0 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
DR Congo (Zaire): Katanga3.4 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Government of Uganda - Civilians3.4 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Twiganeho - Civilians3.4 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
AFC - VDP3.4 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Government of Papua New Guinea - Civilians2.2 × 10⁻¹⁶<0.1%
Total3.2 × 10⁻⁷= the headline figure, 3.2 × 10⁻⁷

5 · The money method: which industries

The figure per €1,000, by the industry where the harm happened, anywhere in the supply chain.

5 · The money method: which industries
IndustryPart of the figureShare
Crop and animal production, hunting and related service activities2.3 × 10⁻⁶69%
Mining and quarrying7.0 × 10⁻⁷21%
Land transport and transport via pipelines7.0 × 10⁻⁸2.0%
Manufacture of food products; beverages and tobacco products6.0 × 10⁻⁸1.8%
Water transport3.3 × 10⁻⁸0.98%
Forestry and logging3.3 × 10⁻⁸0.98%
Manufacture of basic metals3.3 × 10⁻⁸0.96%
Warehousing and support activities for transportation2.8 × 10⁻⁸0.82%
Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles1.8 × 10⁻⁸0.53%
Air transport1.3 × 10⁻⁸0.39%
Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles7.8 × 10⁻⁹0.23%
Postal and courier activities5.1 × 10⁻⁹0.15%
Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment4.8 × 10⁻⁹0.14%
Water collection, treatment and supply4.3 × 10⁻⁹0.13%
Construction3.6 × 10⁻⁹0.11%
Fishing and aquaculture3.1 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Manufacture of other transport equipment3.0 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products2.5 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Security and investigation, service and landscape, office administrative and support activities2.5 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products2.2 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply2.0 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Rental and leasing activities1.7 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Employment activities1.5 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Public administration and defence; compulsory social security1.5 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Manufacture of rubber and plastic products1.4 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Manufacture of paper and paper products1.3 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles1.2 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Sewerage, waste management, remediation activities1.2 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Legal and accounting activities; activities of head offices; management consultancy activities8.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Accommodation and food service activities5.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products5.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c.5.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Repair and installation of machinery and equipment3.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Human health activities3.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Advertising and market research3.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of textiles, wearing apparel, leather and related products3.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products3.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Real estate activities2.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of electrical equipment2.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials2.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Travel agency, tour operator reservation service and related activities2.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Architectural and engineering activities; technical testing and analysis2.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Computer programming, consultancy, and information service activities2.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Repair of computers and personal and household goods2.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations1.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Other professional, scientific and technical activities; veterinary activities1.7 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Printing and reproduction of recorded media1.7 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Activities of membership organisations1.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Financial service activities, except insurance and pension funding1.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Other personal service activities1.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Telecommunications1.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of furniture; other manufacturing1.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Sports activities and amusement and recreation activities1.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Creative, arts and entertainment activities; libraries, archives, museums and other cultural activities; gambling and betting activities8.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Education6.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Motion picture, video, television programme production; programming and broadcasting activities6.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Insurance, reinsurance and pension funding, except compulsory social security4.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Publishing activities4.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Activities auxiliary to financial services and insurance activities4.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Activities of households as employers; undifferentiated goods- and services-producing activities of households for own use2.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Residential care activities and social work activities without accommodation2.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Scientific research and development1.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Total3.4 × 10⁻⁶= the headline figure, 3.4 × 10⁻⁶

6 · The money method: which countries

The figure per €1,000, by the country of the industry where the harm happened.

6 · The money method: which countries
CountryPart of the figureShare
Not placed2.6 × 10⁻⁶77%
Mexico3.9 × 10⁻⁷12%
Brazil1.5 × 10⁻⁷4.3%
United States6.8 × 10⁻⁸2.0%
Russian Federation2.9 × 10⁻⁸0.85%
Turkiye2.6 × 10⁻⁸0.77%
France1.6 × 10⁻⁸0.47%
India1.2 × 10⁻⁸0.35%
Canada1.2 × 10⁻⁸0.34%
Korea, Rep.1.1 × 10⁻⁸0.31%
Germany9.7 × 10⁻⁹0.28%
Spain9.3 × 10⁻⁹0.27%
Italy9.0 × 10⁻⁹0.26%
Japan8.9 × 10⁻⁹0.26%
Argentina8.6 × 10⁻⁹0.25%
Austria5.5 × 10⁻⁹0.16%
Australia3.4 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Poland3.3 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Romania2.9 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Indonesia2.4 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Portugal2.4 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Ireland2.1 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Denmark1.4 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Bulgaria1.4 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Norway1.2 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Hungary1.2 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Belgium9.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Switzerland9.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Lithuania8.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Czechia8.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Finland7.7 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Greece7.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Netherlands6.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Sweden6.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Croatia5.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Latvia3.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Cyprus3.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Slovak Republic3.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Luxembourg2.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Slovenia1.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
South Africa1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Estonia8.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Saudi Arabia6.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
United Kingdom4.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Malta4.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
China3.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Serbia2.5 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Total3.4 × 10⁻⁶= the headline figure, 3.4 × 10⁻⁶

What this trail does not show

Sources behind this figure

HumanToll 2026, run 2259, methodology v1.0. https://quiescence.eu/humantoll/explain/butter/

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